The actions returns to the home of racing this weekend with the Darley July Cup feature race bringing down the curtain on Newmarket’s three-day July meeting, writes Mikey Mumford. This Group One event is open to thoroughbreds aged three years or older and is run over a distance of 6f. The race is renowned for its international involvement with a number of high-quality overseas contenders expected to line up in the gates. A field of seventeen runners have been declared with Godolphin’s runner Delegator the clear market leader. Last year’s winning trainer Aidan O’Brien has just one representative this time with Oracle representing the team from Ballydoyle.
The nature of Amico Fritz’s (20/1) defeat in the Golden Jubilee is difficult to weigh up as he led the stand side group well over a furlong out but had no chance with the far side leaders. He was drawn in stall 13 that day and goes from 11 here so it will be interesting to see where jockey Maxime Guyon takes him. This German challenger was well held by a number of the rivals he faces here and tough ask to reverse the form.
Prior to his Golden Jubilee fifth Bated Breath (13/2) had run with credit when picking up events at Haydock and Windsor. But he fell away pretty sharply last time at Ascot and has work to do on revised terms to better Monsieur Chevalier, Star Witness and Elzaam. However the ground may have been a little on the soft for him and he must have an each-way squeak at the least.
Markab probably needed the run at York last week and connections will hope he will come on for that reappearance. He ended 2010 with victory in the Betfred Sprint Cup at this course and the slight drop in trip should not inconvenience him too much. Henry Candy’s yard is in relatively good form and everything looks set for a nice run at generous odds (15/2).
Beaten well into twelfth in the Jubilee Dalghar (14/1) was unable to make an impression for Andrew Balding and Jimmy Fortune at Ascot. Yet to get his head in front in five starts in Britain, the soft ground might not have been in his favour last time. Nevertheless, he has yet to convince the drop to 6f suits after being challenged at a mile early in his career; best watched.
Delegator (7/2) won well in a competitive York sprint in May with a lot of these left trailing in behind. He’s likely to get the good surface he seems to thrive on and has won over a mile here at Newmarket before. Equally adept at 6f, Goldolphin’s runner sets the clear standard on recent evidence but only had one run so far in 2011 and that is a slight worry.
Another runner for Roger Charlton, Genki (16/1) is a tough sort who won a shade cosily at Newcastle latest after being held up on settling down. He had odds on favourite for that race Regal Parade two lengths behind and should put in another bold bid. Whether that will be good enough in better company remains to be seen; seems in good heart at present though.
His impressive Curragh win in May over 6f could not be repeated in the Jubilee where Hitchens (25/1) finished eleventh of sixteen runners. That came as no surprise though with all his wins coming on firmer ground and any rain here would not help his cause. Has a lot to find on his recent York and Doncaster runs with some of these rivals; unlikely to trouble.
Two poor runs have overshadowed Jimmy Styles’ (33/1) likeable Doncaster win at the beginning of April. The seven-year-old gelding had some useful types in behind that day but has lost his form since tailing off the last twice. On a positive note, he might well get the good ground he has done half of his winning on but not one of those contenders to have much confidence in.
Richard Hannon’s representative Monsieur Chevalier (12/1) has improved run by run this year and his latest second in the Jubilee behind Society Rock was by far his best run in 2011. A similar performance would put him right in the mix and he has shown he has the beating of some of those in opposition. Kieren Fallon has been booked to ride him once more and couldn’t rule out further improvement.
Disappointed the last twice despite being sent off clear favourite Regal Parade (20/1) has been a little expensive to follow in recent weeks. The Dandy Nicholls trained seven-year-old has won over slightly further but is a little more exposed than some of these. Always gives his running and couldn’t disregard despite latest flops.
Having his third and final run in Britain this year before heading back Australia, Star Witness (9/2) has run well in defeat in both the King’s Stands and the Jubilee. Likely to come up against some familiar faces here he should give another good account back on good ground. Would be fitting for him to win this before heading home and has a better chance than some of these.
The oldest horse in the race at eight; War Artist (16/1) never got on terms in the King’s Stands and the pick of his form came in 2008 with a second in the Golden Jubilee. Never looked like reproducing that form since and although lightly raced for his age he needs to make huge strides and looks unlikely to do so.
A great feature to end Newmarket’s fantastic July meeting can go the way of Star Witness on his final run in Britain after his unlucky seconds at Ascot. However, He comes up against Monsieur Chevalier who had his measure last time and he should go well once more. But this race could go to an improver and ELZAAM can go well for the in-form Roger Varian whilst Libranno is a good each-way prospect. [Mikey Mumford]
By Mikey Mumford
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Shalke are struggling in the Bundesliga this season, sitting in a miserable mid table 10th place and will be looking to distract attention from the woeful domestic form with another slaying of one of Europe’s giants. Shalke’s 5-2 routing of Inter Milan earlier this month was arguably their best performance of the season, bar United target Manuel Neuer being lobbed from thee half way line early on. Neuer has been impressive though this season and has cemented himself as Germany’s number 1 much like his idol former Shalke keeper and Arsenal player Jens Lehman. With him in goal Shalke can assure themselves that they will not concede many easy goals so a bet on a home clean sheet may not be too far off at odds of 3.25 on Bet365.
Manchester United
United are looking ever more certain to win the Barclays Premier League, their late goal against Everton epitomised how resilient this United squad can be. Javier Hernandez is proving week in week out that he can provide goals from nowhere; in 24 matches he has given 12 goals that’s a goal every 2 games. Chicarito is not a certainty to start though, while he has built a good partnership up with Wayne Rooney let’s not forget, United hadn’t gone a staggering 390 minutes without scoring, is the pressure of the title race and the Champions League starting to get to them? Well Chicarito scored the first and the last goal against Everton at the weekend and is tipped at good odds to score first again at odds of 7.5 on BetFred.
United’s Champions League performances so far have been good having only dropped points at Valencia who were in flying form and at Rangers when they parked the bus against the Red Devils. Sir Alex Ferguson has thought about this fixture though and rested key men Nemanja Vidic, Darren Fletcher and Dimitar Berbatov and while none but the Serbian centre back are certain starters it will be a great help to their aspirations in this fixtures.
United have been in an odd sort of form lately and with Shalke stuttering domestically, Fergie’s men should be seen as favourites, their wins at home and away at Chelsea in the Champions League being testament to how good and clinical they can be in this competition. There may not be many goals in this fixture and if it goes to form a 1-0 United victory could be comfortable value at 7.5 with Totesport.
Highlighted Bets
Shalke Clean Sheet 3.25 Bet365
First Goalscorer Javier Hernandez 7.5 BetFred
Correct Score 1-0 Manchester United 7.5 Totesport
By John Fernandez
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Tottenham Hotspur: League Position: 5th, League Form: DWLWW
At half-time on Wednesday night Tottenham did not look like a team to be backing this weekend. What a difference a half makes. Gareth Bale’s second half hat-trick may not have recovered even a point at Inter Milan midweek, but at least they found momentum. Playing with 10 men for 80 minutes may have tested their fitness levels, but so far Spurs have won 3 of 4 games after Champions League exploits, and can bring Van Der Vaart, Pavlyuchenko and Modric (subbed after 10 mins at the San Siro) back into their team for Saturday’s early kick off.
With the quality they can rotate in and out of their side and good performances against teams of similar standing, Villa (2-1 home win) and Man City (0-0 away), Tottenham can be confident of securing vital home points in their quest for another top four finish.
Everton: League Position: 11th, League Form: DLDWW
Nothing much compares to 3 points at home to Liverpool for Everton fans. A win that puts Liverpool joint bottom and the Toffees away from the relegation places is even more sweeter.
So, now to follow up from last weekend’s glorious triumph. The first team to win at Birmingham for a year, Everton showed themselves to be far from weak at home. The manager believed they’d been playing better than their first few results showed, and consecutives 2-0 victories may have proved him right.
This weekend they come up against a different proposition in Tottenham, not a team going backwards like their last two opponents. Much will depend on how they handle Van Der Vaart and Bale, whilst going forward Cahill and Arteta look more potent a threat than lone frontman Yakubu.
Tottenham at home are a scary prospect for every team in the country nowadays, and their second half performance against Inter shows they are frightening up front. Everton may have kept two clean sheets in a row, but I think a desire to stay solid in this one may draw them onto the backfoot, whilst Van Der Vaart is a classier player in the hole than any man David Moyes can set against him.
That dutchman could be worth a punt first goal in this one, he’ll always find holes and take a shot, and I think his return plus the momentum of the comeback at the San Siro will help Spurs pinch 3 points at home this weekend.
Each side is capable of scoring, and I expect more of a goal threat in their midfields than their strikers, but whilst Liverpool were their for the taking last week, Everton won’t be given the freedom of White Hart Lane. Expect a good game (the majority of each teams fixtures finished with over 2.5 goals last season), with both teams on form and capable of mixing it up, but home advantage could be all important for Tottenham.
Highlighted Bets:-
Over/Under: Over 2.5 Goals – 2.05 Bet365
First Goalscorer: Rafael Van Der Vaart – 7.5 StanJames
Correct Score: 2-1 Home Win – 9.00 SkyBet, WilliamHill
Match Odds:-
Tottenham – 2.2 Betfred
Draw – 3.4 Ladbrokes, Paddy Power, Bet365
Everton – 3.9 VC Bet
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Another FIFTY million pounds has been splashed since Manchester City’s fortunate opening away day draw at Spurs. The world’s richest club dipped further into their endless war chest to sign Inter wonderkid Mario Ballotelli and James Milner from Aston Villa this week – but can it buy Mancini a first three points of the new season against Liverpool? Well, considering both may not start against the Reds the answer is probably NO! Nonetheless, City’s Italian head coach will be hoping his new-look side can make an immediate impact at Eastlands in their pursuit of the Premier League title. Roy Hodgson is preparing for his first away game as Liverpool boss but can his side throw a spanner in the works and spoil the City party?
Tottenham could count themselves both unlucky and unfortunate not to beat Man City last weekend but in Joe Hart they came across a goalkeeper who was simply unbeatable. The England ace produced an array of top-draw saves to snuff out the goal threat of Spurs’ Jermain Defoe and others and it was just so fitting he scooped the Man of the Match accolade. But he’ll be hoping for a much quieter evening on Monday and his team are best priced 7/5 with William Hill to claim a home win. Roberto Mancini looks set to go all out attack in this one after seemingly adopting a defensive approach at White Hart Lane last time and big hitters Carlos Tevez and Emmanuel Adebayor could get off the mark for the season. The Citizens really need to win this one to steal a march on their Merseyside rivals and deliver a statement of intent to their fans early in the season.
Eager to put last campaigns disappointment, Liverpool were minutes away from starting this season on the correct footing against Arsenal last Sunday. A rare Pepe Reina fumble in the dying stages meant it was a case of two points dropped rather than one gained for the Kop who had Joe Cole sent off earlier in the game. However, Hodgson would have been pleased with the desire and commitment of his team, who took the lead with 10 men and this buoyancy, can be carried over against star-studded City. David N’gog reminded his new manager of his capabilities by scoring the opener that day, but perhaps more pleasing on Merseyside was the brief substitute appearance of Fernando Torres in Europe in midweek. The Spaniard on course to return from injury, looked sharp and lively in the twenty minutes field time he got against Turkish side Trabzonspor at Anfield. Odds around the 9/4 (SkyBet) mark are being bandied about for a Liverpool away win at Man City, which seems generous considering Liverpool are unbeaten at Eastlands in the last five years, recording two wins and three draws.
Our old friend the draw on paper looks the most likely outcome at 9/4 (Bet365), a goalless draw has been played out in three of the last four meetings between the pair at Eastlands so this might be worth considering at 8/1 with Ladbrokes. Although, such is the attacking prowess it might be wise to expect goals at both ends, and both teams to score seems reasonable at EVENS (William Hill). Both teams looked vulnerable in defence in midweek despite not conceding against Timosoara and Trabzonspor respectively. As ever with Manchester City, it’s difficult to predict the first goalscorer as there are so many different avenues to look down. As expected Carlos Tevez and Adebayor head the market at around 6/1 (general).The longshot wager could rest with Liverpool’s Dirk Kuyt though, he’s scored at Eastlands before in a 3-2 victory in 2008 and at 14/1 with Victor Chandler he seems overpriced to grab the first.
This game has all the credentials to be a tight-knit affair but goals should come at both ends, although the 7/5 for a City win must not be overlooked and they can register their first win in front of their own fans. Don’t expect it to be easy pickings as it could take time for Mancini’s men to get in behind a stubborn Reds backline. The half time market for this reason must be explored, and the 13/8 (William Hill) for a goalless first forty-five could be nailed on.
Recommended bets: Goal less first half at 13/8 with William Hill – click for free bet
Man City to win at best odds 7/5 with Bet 365 – New customers get £200 free.
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By Mikey Mumford
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At last. At long, long last the new Premier League season is back. After our dismal showing in South Africa this summer, the domestic campaign couldn’t come soon enough for England’s under performers. And potentially, seven of those who made Fabio Capello’s 23 man squad could be involved in Saturday’s big kick-off when Tottenham entertain Manchester City.
Sixty million pounds and Champions League football was the prize the last time these two clubs met in May. It took a Peter Crouch header that day to condemn those ambitious billionaire sugardaddies across at Eastlands to a Europa League spot. Instead, Harry Redknapp’s North Londoners would get a crack at the Champions League and their first foray into Europe’s top-flight competition. And City’s response, well it was simply to reinvest more cash into their already star studded line up, but will Mancini’s new recruits gel in time for the White Hart Lane showdown? Despite the arrivals of David Silva, Yaya Toure, Jerome Boateng and Aleksander Kolarov, it is Spurs who head the betting to win Saturday’s lunchtime clash at 7/5 (Bet365). City are available with most firms at 2/1 to avenge last season’s disappointment while the draw is currently trading at 12/5 with Stan James.
At the time of writing, Man City’s summer spending spree has shown no sign of slowing with the possible arrivals of James Milner and Mario Balotelli set to eclipse the £100 million mark. Expectations in the blue half of Manchester as you would expect have reached another level and focus is solely on winning the Premier League. When they travel to Spurs on Saturday, Mancini knows a winning start is high on the list if they are to amount a serious title challenge. But the form book suggests City will struggle against ‘Arry’s men having lost 11 of their previous 12 meetings and were comprehensively beaten 3-0 in the corresponding fixture last term. White Hart Lane has not been a happy stomping ground but is that all about to change? Mancini must first select his 25-man squad for the new campaign and there could be some big name absentees such is the abundance of quality at his disposal. However, it is more than likely Yaya Toure and David Silva will make their debuts and Bet365 go 10/1 the latter scores the opener and follow up his World Cup winning summer.
There is much to be admired about the way Harry Redknapp has steered Tottenham from one-time relegation candidates 18 months ago to genuine title contenders this year. Although, the possibility of them topping the PL seems unlikely they should be thereabouts in the final shake-up. Their fourth place finish last term has left a lot to be desired and it will be interesting to see how the North Londoners are tested by playing three times a week due to their European involvements. Big squads are a must during busy fixture schedules but the quality must be there and some Spurs fans may have been a little disheartened to see only Sandro join the club this summer. But Harry is a good judge of character and he must feel fairly confident of tackling the new season with his current crop of players. But can they improve on last years finish?
Their home form was key to this success and justifies the 7/5 favouritism which seems value considering they can continue from where they left off last term. They completed the double over their Manchester rivals during the campaign without conceding a goal, Paddy Power offers 10/3 they win to nil again. However, the last six meetings at White Hart Lane have ended as over 2.5 goals and with the attacking prowess on display we could see goals at both ends. Bet365 are the stand out firm offering 21/20 on this market and this seems worth a punt. Another bet which appeals somewhat is the draw a half time which his being bandied about at even money. Both teams might need a little time to find their feet in their first competitive game for some time and the deadlock might not be broken until the second half.
Selecting the first goalscorer in this one has never been trickier with so many potential avenues it could come from. Excluding the obvious of Jermain Defoe (6/1 SkyBet) and Carlos Tevez ( 13/2 Victor Chandler) from calculations, the longshot wager could be Gareth Bale who seems overpriced at 14/1 across the board after finding the net with some frequency towards the back end of last season.
So will Manchester City’s new look squad prove their worth or will Tottenham throw a spanner in the works and give their neighbours food for thought? One thing is for certain and that this is a fantastic opener to the new Premier League season, but the value seems to rest with Spurs who can start the season off in a positive manner and with you a PROFIT!
Recommended bets:
Over 2.5 golas at best odds 21/10 with Bet 365. Visit Bet 365 and get £200 in free bets
Gareth Bale to score first at best odds 14/1 with Skybet. Visit Skybet and get a £10 free bet.
By Mikey Mumford
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Having not been involved at a major tournament since Euro 2004 Denmark aim to follow up their strong qualification campaign with a memorable World Cup in South Africa. The Danes will be looking to build on their last three Finals where they reached the last sixteen twice and the Quarter Finals once. The Danes crowning achievement in International football came in 1992 where they lifted the European Championship in Sweden. For a triumph at South Africa; Ladbrokes provide the shortest odds at 66/1 whereas William Hill offers more attractive odds at 125/1.
Denmark are placed in Group E along with group favourites Netherlands, African side Cameroon and Japan. This is a group in which Denmark has every chance of progressing out of or even winning. Paddy Power prices Denmark at 6/5 to qualify from the group whereas William Hill prices the Danes at 9/2 to finish the group stages as group winners
The Danes qualified top of their qualification group which included teams such as Portugal and Sweden. Beating and drawing with Portugal were the highlights of an impressive campaign which saw only one defeat at the hands of Hungary. If this form is carried into the finals there is every chance of Denmark reaching at least the Quarter Final stage with Totesport offering odds of 13/1 for elimination at this stage. Expert.com offer attractive 28/1 odds on Denmark being eliminated at the Semi Final stage, this is a bet worth taking.
Having been in charge of the Danish Dynamite for a decade, Coach Olsen is taking the strongest squad he has coached to South Africa. The key players are all well known players from some of the top clubs in Europe. Joan Dahl Tomasson previously of AC Milan captains the Danes and leads forward line. He is priced at 150/1 with a number of betting agencies including Bet365 and BetFred. Regular players in the Danish Squad include; Daniel Agger of Liverpool, Christian Poulsen of Juventus, Dennis Rommedhal of Ajax and Nicholas Bendtner of Arsenal.
Recommended bets: If Denmark manage to avoid injuries to key players they could well be a threat at the 2010 finals in South Africa. Expert.com offer 27/10 odds on young midfielder Soren Rieks making the World Cup squad. They also offer 1 /4 odds on him not making the squad.
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England regularly go into a World Cup as one of the favourites but this is normally based on hope, rather than expectation. This time however, there is a general belief that England have what it takes to win the tournament and are third favourites at 6/1 with bwin.com. Since Fabio Capello has taken over the reigns from Steve McClaren, England have been a team transformed winning 15 of the 21 matches in which he has been in charge.
Group C sees England pitted against USA, Slovenia and Algeria in what seems a relatively comfortable draw. England are clear favourites to win the group, with Sky Bet providing odds of 4/11 that they top the table. Odds of 2/1 for England to finish the group stage with 9 points also looks like good value with expect.com. Should they win the group, England are likely to face Serbia in the last 16, before moving on to play France in the quarter finals and probably Brazil in the last 4.
England produced a near faultless qualifying campaign, progressing from Group 6 with ease, winning 9 and losing 1 of their 10 games.
England have an abundance of world class players on the pitch, but one man stands out in particular. Wayne Rooney is the focal point of England’s attacking play. A total of 9 goals made him the 2nd highest scorer in the European qualifying campaign and took his tally to 25 goals in 57 appearances. His two previous major tournaments for England were blighted by injury, but if fit, his odds of 16/1 with bwin.com to win the golden boot look like a snip.
The current England team is the best in decades, with players such as Terry, Gerrard, Lampard and Rooney all at their peak. As proven in recent friendlies however, England tend to struggle against the very best opposition. They should have enough quality to best the French in the quarters, but the prospect of facing Brazil in the semi’s could prove a bridge too far. I feel that England will get knocked out in the last 4 and the odds of this happening with Coral are 9/2.
Recommended bets: England to get knocked out in the Semi Final’s at 9/2with William Hill – click for free bet.
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FC Twente Champions League Form: DLDWL League Position: 3rd
Dutch side FC Twente cannot qualify for the knockout stages of the Champions League after defeat to Inter Milan on match day 5 but they are assured of a Europa League spot. They will however, be looking to go out on a high and may well play with a little bit more freedom, knowing there is less pressure. Midfield playmaker Theo Janssen is the danger man for Twente after scoring two goals in the competition so far, and their top Champions League scorer is a good price at 4/1 with William Hill to find the net at any time. While the current Dutch Champions are going well in the Eredivisie League and are second only on goal difference behind PSV Eindhoven.
Tottenham Champions League Form: DWLWW League Position: 1st
Tottenham can cap off their fantastic first Champions League campaign by claiming top spot in Group A if they can match Inter Milan’s result at Werder Bremen. Spurs will take heart from an impressive 4-1 victory against their opponents in September and will be looking to get the win to secure their passage. Winger Gareth Bale is Spur’s top scorer in the competition with 4 goals to his name, and the Welshman is a really good price at 9/1 with Victor Chandler to open the scoring on the night. David Bentley and Robbie Keane are doubts for the visit to Holland, while Tom Huddlestone, Jermaine Jenas, Younes Kaboul, Ledley King and Rafael Van Der Vaart should all miss out through injury.
Match Prediction: Tottenham WIN 5/4 William Hill
Spurs have saved their best performances for the Champions League this season and should be too strong for FC Twente on Tuesday evening. Although Tottenham’s defensive problems may haunt them again with several players out injured, meaning a 3-1 win for Redknapp’s men is a great bet at 20-1 with BlueSq. While Jermain Defoe has made his comeback from injury in recent weeks and William Hill are offering 9/4 for him to score at any time and Tottenham to go on to get the win. Although on the other hand Twente’s top league scorer Marc Janko is showing good odds of 15/2 with Victor Chandler to get the last goal.
Highlighted Bets
Gareth Bale to score first – 9/1 Victor Chandler
Tottenham to win 3-1 – 20/1 BlueSq
Theo Janssen to score at any time – 4/1 William Hill
By Sam Markham
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Braga UEFA Champions League Group Position: 3rd Champions League Form: LLWW
Braga are sitting in 3rd in group H and will be looking for an upset against Arsenal after their 6-0 drubbing at The Emirates. Braga are 10th in La Liga Sagres and are not enjoying a great start to their league campaign after the success achieved last year. Their last Champions league outing saw them defeat Partizan 1-0 away from home.
However Arsenal know that a victory here will see them qualify for the knockout stage indefinitely so Arsenal are likely to field a strong line up featuring Cesc Fabregas who scored twice against Braga in their last meeting.
Arsenal UEFA Champions League Group Position: 1st Champions League Form: WWWL
Arsenal’s last Champions League outing was a distinctly poor affair, with the only moments of quality coming in the first 30 minutes in their 2-1 loss to Shakhtar. Arsenal’s league form however has been on the whole promising, and while Everton did take them to the wire last weekend at Goodison Park after Tim Cahill’s late strike gave them hope they have looked dominant. The return of Robin Van Persie to fitness has to be a bonus for Arsene Wenger’s men and with their Shakhtar defeat fresh in mind Wenger surely will go for a stronger line up then who started that game. Meaning a start for Robin Van Persie over Nikolas Bendnter and Maraune Chamakh looks likely.
Long term absentee Thomas Vermhaelen is still on the sidelines along with Manuel Almunia and Aaron Ramsey. Lukasz Fabianski’s form since his replacing Manuel Almunia has been outstanding and bar the defeat to Tottenham this weekend his displays between the sticks have been far superior to the ‘Flappy Handski’ displays of last year. So Arsenal to win and keep a clean sheet being priced at 21/10 is a good shout on BoyleSports.
Samir Nasri again scored this weekend and has been on fine form lately and is priced at 3/1 on Coral to score at anytime also. A high scoring match is the most likely outcome after the 6-0 defeat last time, the odds for another 6-0 win for Arsenal are 325/1 on Paddypower so arewell worth a look in, but a more defensive Braga side at home may be harder to break down so a 3-0 Arsenal win could be more likely with odds of 16/1 on ToteSport.
Reccomended bets:
Arsenal win and clean sheet 21/10 Bet 365
Anytime Goalscorer 3/1 Coral
Correct Score 6-0 to Arsenal 325/1 Paddy Power
Correst Score Arsenal 16/1 Tote Sport
By John Fernandez
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