Bolton’s difficult start to the season continues again on Saturday evening when they take on league leaders Manchester United at home in the evening kick off. The fixture computer certainly hasn’t been kind to the Trotters as they have already faced Manchester City and Liverpool in their opening 3 games this season. History also doesn’t bode well for Owen Coyle as Bolton have only won once at home against Manchester United in the last 12 meetings, and the odds are looking like another away win.
Bolton
Bolton’s season started with an impressive 4-0 away win at QPR, but since then some difficult fixtures against Liverpool and Manchester City have seen them fall to consecutive defeats. They now face a Man United team in great form after putting 8 past Arsenal, but if they can take some of the positives going forward from the Man City game, then they may have a chance on Saturday. Going forward hasn’t been a problem for the Trotters this season, scoring 7 goals in 3 games, it has been their defence which has let in 6 goals in 2 games. Their opponents on Saturday have also scored plenty of goals, an impressive 13 in 3 games, so betting on over 2.5 goals at 1.67 from Skybet is looking good. New signing David Ngog could well make his debut on Saturday and the former Liverpool striker is looking good at 5.0 with William Hill to score at any time during the game.
Man Utd
Manchester United have had the perfect start to the season, winning their opening 3 games and putting an unbelievable 8 goals past a weakened Arsenal team in their last game. New signings, David De Gea, Ashley Young and Phil Jones have also settled in well as the current champions are again firm favourites to win at Bolton. The best odds available on an away win are as short as 1.44 from Paddy Power so betting on a correct score is looking better value for money. With both sides being involved in goals this season, a 3-1 away win is looking like good value and a decent bet with odds of 13.0 available from Paddy Power. Wayne Rooney will be looking to add to his impressive tally of 5 goals in 3 games so far this season and the England striker is another good bet at 5.0 from Bet365 to open the scoring.
Highlighted bets
Bolton WIN – 9.0 Bet365
David Ngog anytime scorer – 5.0 William Hill
Wayne Rooney first scorer – 5.0 Bet365
3-1 Man Utd – 13.0 Paddy Power
Over 2.5 goals – 1.67 Skybet
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Fulham League Position: 16th League Form: DLL
Fulham have started poorly under Martin Jol and have found themselves at the wrong end of the table this early on in the season, picking up only 1 point from a possible 9. With a home fixture against Steve Kean’s Blackburn on the horizon though last season’s 8th placed team will be fancying their chances. Goals can come from anywhere with Fulham with 3 players already on 3 goals this season. Last season’s top marksman Clint Dempsey is always good for a goal and against a Blackburn defence yet to keep a clean sheet he must fancy himself, back him to score first at 7.5 on William Hill.
Jol did do some deadline day shopping though and stole Costa Rican international Bryan Ruiz from under Newcastle’s noses. The Costa Rican may make his debut from the bench and is pitted at 8.0 on Coral to score last.
Fulham’s greatest strength last term was their resiliency at the back with only 1.13 goals conceded per game by the Cottagers and statistically at Craven Cottage more than 2.5 goals were scored on only 17 occasions which was the 4th best in the league. The odds of this happening in this fixture are solid for a return at 1.83 on Betfair.
Blackburn League Position: 19th League Form: LLL
Steve Kean’s Blackburn have been tipped for a difficult season and after 3 games difficult looks like an understatement. As the owners are in search of a landmark signing a la Ronaldiniho, Beckham or Raul, Blackburn are suffering after the loss of defensive colossus Phil Jones. Reinforcements in the shape of Scott Dann and Yakubu have been bright in though, to shore up the back and to grab some goals. Yakubu has hardly been prolific for Everton lately but if he makes his debut the odds of him scoring at any time look very tasty at 4.5 on Bet365.
In the past 5 meetings of these 2 clubs it has been an even split with both sides winning 2 apiece and 1 draw.
The likelihood of draw though is low with Fulham surely having the quality to prove victorious here, they are sure favourites at 1.73 on Stan James.
By John Fernandez
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England take on Wales on Tuesday evening in their penultimate Euro 2012 qualifying game. Both sides enjoyed good wins over the weekend and will be looking to continue that good form with another victory at Wembley. Wales still hold an outside chance of taking 2nd place in the group after getting their first win last time out, but England will be looking to seal top spot.
England enjoyed a good 3-0 win over Bulgaria in Sofia on Friday night to put themselves 3 points clear at the top of Group G. Wayne Rooney was in particularly great form, netting 2 goals in the process and striking up a good partnership with Ashley Young. The Man United Striker then, is looking good odds at 4.0 from Bet365 to open the scoring on the night. Fabio Capello’s men are firm favourites to win at Wembley and best priced at 1.14 from Paddy Power. The corresponding fixture in Wales finished 2-0 to England back in March and a similar score line is looking like a good bet at 6.0 with William Hill. Wales have improved since that game, but England will be spurred on by the fact that a win on Tuesday will leave them only needing a draw in Montenegro in their final game to secure top spot. This also means that a bet of England to score in the first 10 minutes, might be a good bet with odds of 4.0 from Skybet.
Wales got their first win in Euro 2012 Qualifying on Friday when their earned a 2-1 home win against Montenegro. Steve Morison got Wales opening goal in Cardiff and the Norwich man is looking like the most likely source of an away goal on Tuesday night. With this in mind, the striker is looking like a good outside bet at 6.5 with Skybet to get on the score sheet at any time during the match. Wales have only ever won once in England, and this is reflected in their odds, with the best price on an away win coming at 21.0 from Stan James. Wales have conceded 9 goals so far in qualifying and England have scored an impressive 14, which means betting on over 2.5 goals at 1.5 from Skybet, is looking like a good option. England did make a few mistakes on Friday that may have been punished by a better side, and so odds of 2.62 from William Hill for both teams to score is looking like a good option.
Highlighted Bets
England WIN – 1.14 Paddy Power
2-0 England – 6.0 William Hill
Wayne Rooney first goal scorer – 4.0 Bet365
England to score 1st ten mins – 4.0 Skybet
Steve Morison anytime scorer – 6.5 Skybet
Article by Sam Markham
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Spain: Qualifying Group Position 1st: Qualifying Group Form: WWWWW
World and European Champions Spain have unsurprisingly won all five of their group games so far, averaging three goals a game. Whether the FIFA rankings say so or not (Spain are second in the official rankings, behind Holland) this team is the best in the world, and one that will go down in history. Their superb style, Tiki Taka, is the envy of all sides.
Spain have not lost in 21 UEFA European Championship games since a 3-2 defeat by Northern Ireland in a UEFA EURO 2008 qualifier on 6 September 2006, five years to the day before this match kicks off.
They did lose to Italy in August and go two goals down to Chile on Friday, before winning 3-2 due to a late penalty, but each of those games saw weakened sides. Against Chile Manager Vicente Del Bosque was forced to place young midfielder Javi Martinez in defence, and Chile exposed this weakness. Even without Pique and Puyol Spain won, with the introduction Iniesta, Fabregas (who scored twice) and Pedro at half time turning the game on its head.
Liechtenstein: Qualifying Group Position: 5th, Qualifying Group Form: LLLWD
Ranked 118 in the world, it is clear that Liechtenstein will expect little from a clash with Spain. A 0-4 loss at home to Spain last September is sure to be fresh in the minds of those home fans as they are likely not to have seen better football played in front of them, albeit that the opposition were the purveyors of such stylish play.
They have never qualified for a major tournament, and will not this time either, but will be aiming to break a record of four consecutive bottom place finishes in European Championship qualifying, although that depends heavily on other results, and beating either Spain or Scotland in their last two games.
Having conceded four goals against Spain, they can be happy with only letting in another six in their next five qualifiers. They have, however got more points than goals, scoring only three times whilst accumulating four points.
It is also clear that teams with any real quality will roll over Liechtenstein, having conceded four against Spain, five against Croatia, three against Russia and four against Germany in recent years.
With Spain a certainty to win the game in 90 minutes, what are your best bets? Well, Liechtenstein have yet to register a goal against Spain, with the aggregate scoreline over the course of their meetings – qualifiers for the 2002 FIFA World Cup and UEFA EURO 2008 as well as UEFA EURO 2012 – a comprehensive 17-0, and as such a clean sheet should be expected for Spain.
Expect Spain to score in both halves too; Liechtenstein have only once gone a whole half without conceding against the Spanish, holding firm for the final 76 minutes of a 2-0 loss in Vaduz on 6 June 2007.
Basically, expect a Spanish onslaught. David Villa will lead the line for the World Champions, and should find chances at his feet. He’ll be disappointed not to score.
Highlighted Bets:-
Over/Under: Over 4.5 Goals – 1.6 BWin
First Goalscorer: David Villa – 3.00 BWin
Correct Score: 6-0 – 15.00 Paddy Power
Article by Chris Wilkerson
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Haydock Park plays host to the 44th running of the Betfred Sprint Cup on Saturday where the top sprinters from the UK and Ireland will go head-to-head over six furlongs, writes Mikey Mumford. Among the 17 runners entered for this renewal are July Cup winner Dream Ahead, Golden Jubilee victor Society Rock and Mick Easterby’s Steward’s Cup conqueror Hoof It. And despite the withdrawal of Wokingham star Deacon Blues, it still looks a terrific contest as runners and riders battle it out for a share of the £275,000 purse.
Dream Ahead There seemed to be no excuses last time at Deauville when seventh of 13 runners. On that evidence, he has work to do to reverse the form with a number of these rivals including Society Rock, Genki and Wootton Bassett who all had the beating of him in France. If his last run is to be forgiven David Simcock’s representative will have to repeat the form of his July Cup win at Ascot; he should be bang there if he does.
Hoof It Really come into himself in 2011 and his Steward’s Cup success carrying top weight was mightily impressive. He was a little disappointing last time in the Nunthorpe despite being sent off favourite but that was at 5f and he should relish his best trip here at Haydock. No signs he is finished yet this campaign and another big run expected.
Bated Breath Arguably at his best on good to firm ground and picked up a couple of competitive events earlier on in the year. Has been well held by a few of these in his last three races but another who will appreciate the step back up to 6f; may just be vulnerable to an improver though.
Society Rock Unexpected winner of the Golden Jubilee in June but had run a decent second behind Bated Breath the time before that. He got soft ground at Ascot last time and must go close if getting similar conditions; has won on good and good to firm ground so versatility may put him in the frame.
Delegator Poor runs the last twice when failing to make an impression in the July Cup and the Lennox stakes. Therefore has to pull a bit more out to beat some of those rivals here. Done the majority of his winning on good ground and should be well suited to 6f after winning at both 7f and a mile; needs to bounce back though.
Bewitched Got off the mark on his reappearance at Leopardstown this year but was never travelling in the Jubilee next time. However, he has won over course and distance before so does have a liking for Haydock. Whether the track can help him rediscover his best form remains to be seen but more going for him than most.
Wootton Bassett Excellent and unbeaten two-year-old who just hasn’t translated any of that form into this year and was well beaten at Deauville last time albeit ahead of Dream Ahead. Run once on British soil in 2011 and was under pressure a long way from home in the St James Palace Stakes at Royal Ascot. Looks to be going backwards and hard to have confidence here in another competitive event.
Genki Tough and consistent performer who has notched a couple of decent events this year including at Newcastle in June where he wore down Doncaster Rover to take the spoils late on. Ran on well at Newmarket last time without troubling the leaders and each-way claims if giving his usual sound running once more.
Another excellent renewal and typically hard to call but Dream Ahead is a better horse than he showed at Deauville last time and must come into the reckoning. So should Delegator for Godolphin if he can put a couple of disappointing results behind him. But HOOF IT is the most interesting stepped back up to his favourable 6f and his excellent year can continue with another big race win here. Genki could be the one for minor honours. [Mikey Mumford]
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England take on Bulgaria on Friday night in their 6th Euro 2012 qualifier. Fabio Capello will be looking to get back to winning ways after England’s disappointing 2-2 draw with Switzerland in their last match. He will also want to cement England’s place at the top of the group to avoid an unofficial play off for it when they play Montenegro in October. Bulgaria on the other hand, will be looking for a win to boost their chances to finishing in 2nd place.
Bulgaria are looking for only their second victory in qualifying when they take on England at home on Friday. This form is represented in the odds for Bulgaria, with their best odds as long as 7.0 from Bet365 to take the victory. The Lions only win so far has come against bottom of the table Wales, but they still have some well-known Premier League players. Dimitar Berbatov has retired from international football, but Bolton winger Martin Petrov should play alongside Aston Villa midfielder Stiliyan Petrov. However, Bulgaria’s top scorer in qualifying so far is Ivelin Popov who has 2 goals in 5 games. The attacking midfielder is looking like the best bet for a goal from Bulgaria and so odds of 5.0 from Skybet for him to score at any time are definitely worth a look.
A young looking England side are the early favourites to sweep aside Bulgaria with the best odds on an away win coming from Stan James at 1.62. The corresponding fixture at home finished in a 4-0 win for Capello’s men and although it may not be that comfortable again, they should be walking away with all 3 points. A smaller scoreline of 2-0 to England is perhaps more realistic and has good value with odds of 6.5 from Betfred. Manchester United pair Wayne Rooney and Ashley Young should start after striking up a good partnership for their club and enjoying a good start to the season. Rooney is also looking a safe bet at 5.5 with Coral to open the scoring on the night after his hat trick against Arsenal last Sunday. England have managed 11 goals in 5 games so far in qualifying, which is an average of just over 2 a game. With this in mind, betting on over 2.5 goals at 1.67 from Paddy Power, is looking like another good option.
Highlighted Bets
England 2-0 – 6.5 Betfred
Wayne Rooney first goal scorer – 5.5 Coral
Over 2.5 goals – 1.67 Paddy Power
England to score 2+ first half – 5.0 Skybet
Bulgaria WIN – 7.0 Bet365
Popov anytime scorer – 5.0 Skybet
By Sam Markham
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Manchester United: League Position: 2nd, League Form: WW
Manchester United have started this season with shows of scintillating attacking verve. Free flowing football with pace and variation has seen the Champions sweep aside Tottenham last weekend and West Brom the week before, where they were a touch less consistent in their rhythm but had spells of utter domination that were remarkably easy on the eye. The second goal against Spurs on Monday was particularly irresistible and should be seen by any who loves gorgeous goals.
The most impressive players this year have arguably been two who did not play for the team last year. Not new signings, but returning loanees. Cleverley and Welbeck, who combined for the latter’s goal against Tottenham, made the last England squad and have fitted into the side like experienced pros, and have comfortably filled the boots of Javier Hernandez and Paul Scholes for the time being.
The defence that has had to protect the shaky new ‘keeper David De Gea was without both Ferdinand and Vidic last week, yet Ferdinand may return this weekend. If not Phil Jones and Jonny Evans will line up centrally, with Smalling at right back, and that defence is definitely there to be attacked. Although talented, it is just not the masterful backline that Ferdinand and Vidic command. Otherwise, weaknesses are hard to find.
Arsenal: League Position: 14th, League Form: DL
Fabregas and Nasri are finally gone, and Arsene has yet to move in the transfer department since their moves were completed, and as such Arsenal go into this game looking significantly weaker than how they ended last season. In fact, they look weaker than when they were easily beaten by Liverpool 2-0 at home last weekend. Along with the two big names now sold, Arsenal are without Alex Song, Gervinho, Frimpong, Wilshere and possibly Vermaelen. That leaves them short in a squad that lacks depth.
Whilst they looked good midweek against Udinese, securing their Champions League place with a 2-1 win in Italy, they were second best at home to Liverpool, never looked like scoring at Newcastle the week before, and are in a little bit of turmoil as a club. The game they wanted least of all right now is a trip to Old Trafford. They are in their worst run of league form under Arsene Wenger, their worst run since 1995, with only 13 points taken from their last 13 game, whilst they have also won just a single away match in their last eight Premiership away games.
And their record at Old Trafford? Eight goals in 19 Premier League visits, and have won only one of the last eight matches against United in all competitions, losing six of those. They have one real quality player available, Robin Van Persie, and it would be a lot to ask for him to win this single handed.
Match Prediction: Manchester United WIN – 1.53 ToteSport
This is the right time for Manchester United to play Arsenal. In a game where Arsenal’s main advantage is the middle of the park, the Gunners are without Wilshere, Frimpong, Diaby and Song. Ramsey and Rosicky have a job on their hands to contain two in form youngsters in Cleverley and Anderson, whilst United may throw experienced heads like Carrick, Fletcher or Giggs into the battle to control the midfield.
Even the sparkling attack of Arsenal is lacking, with Nasri obviously absent and Gervinho still suspended. Frankly, their attacking threat is one man, Robin Van Persie, unless Walcott and Arshavin can find some form and consistency.
Until Arsene Wenger spends some money it is hard to see them beating a team who did not lose at all at home last season, are unbeaten in seven United vs Arsenal ties at Old Trafford and look in top condition.
The rhythm Sir Alex’s Ferguson’s side has shown in their past three games (Community Shield included) makes them hard favourites to beat any team that is not Barcelona. And Wayne Rooney looks back to somewhere near his best so far this term. A man who has scored two in two games, three in his last five appearances against Arsenal, and obviously the quality striker leading the United attack is hard to ignore for first goalscorer too. The signs all read Manchester United this Sunday.
Highlighted bets:
Over/Under: Over 2.5 Goals – 1.8 Bet365
First Goalscorer: Wayne Rooney – 5.75 Victor Chandler
Correct Score: 3-1 Manchester United – 15.00 Paddy Power
Tottenham Form: WL 2.88 – Bet365
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Goodwood returns to our TV screens on Saturday with the Betfair Celebration Mile the undisputed highlight, writes Mikey Mumford. The Group 2 event features British and Irish 2000 Guineas runner-up Dubawi Gold and last year’s winner Poet’s Voice. A tight knit field of seven runners, four of whom boast course and distance winning form, will head to post for a share of the £100,000 purse.
Beacon Lodge: Yet to back up his reappearance win at Haydock this year but he has put in a series of good placed efforts for trainer Clive Cox. He finished best of those behind the useful Excelebration in the Hungerford a fortnight ago and must have a chance on that evidence. Unlikely to meet another rival as good as him, and has won over a mile albeit not at this track, each-way hopeful.
Emerald Commander: Absent for the whole of the 2010 campaign but made amends with a comeback victory in a listed event at Pontefract in July. That was a three-runner affair though over 1m4f but he did beat the progressive St Moritz and must have a chance dropped back to a mile. From the Godolphin yard, he was mightily disappointing at Salisbury latest and needs to bounce back.
Poet’s Voice: Without a run on British soil so far this year but was second to Wigmore Hall at Meydan in March. He ended 2010 with a poor run at Newmarket over 1m2f but prior to that had racked up consecutive successes including over this course and distance. Has won on both soft and firm ground but wouldn’t want too much rain, shortlisted.
Premio Loco: Consistent performer who hasn’t had it all his own way in his three runs so far this year. He failed to make an impression in all those outings over a mile despite his liking for good to firm ground. Out of sorts at the moment but wouldn’t rule out an improved performance here.
Riggins Useful: on the all-weather at the back end of 2010 but failed to transfer that form onto turf this campaign. Tried at 1m2f at Ascot three runs back but never got going and drop to a mile didn’t help next time at Goodwood. Did not get a clear run 2f out at York last time but was already well beaten and unsure about his best trip, best watched.
Set The Trend: Another previous course and distance winner here in May making all to defy odds of 10/1. He probably needed the run at Doncaster on his reappearance but his Goodwood win should have boosted confidence and Andrew Balding’s runner can well again at the track he seems to have a liking for. Will want the ground no softer than good though and sniff of a chance should he get conditions.
Dubawi Gold: Came up against some useful types the last twice in Excelebration and Frankel prior to his seconds in the British and Irish 2000 Guineas. Dropped back to 7f by Richard Hannon last time and never really got competitive and will appreciate step up to a mile. He represents the stables main hope after Strong Suit was withdrawn because of softening conditions on Thursday.
Strong Suit’s withdrawal has took a little gloss of the race but still a competitive renewal nonetheless. Poet’s Voice comes here on the back of a Meydan second in March and should be thereabouts although the lack of a recent run might prove his undoing. Set The Trend is interesting after his latest course and distance win but DUBAWI GOLD should have a race like this in him and can bounce back from a disappointing Hungerford for connections. [Mikey Mumford]
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The big game this Sunday lunchtime sees Tottenham taking on Manchester City in a bid to win their first points of the new season. Man City though, will be looking to continue their 100% start to the campaign and will be aiming for their first league win at White Hart Lane since 2003. Samir Nasri could make his first appearance for City against his former clubs North London rivals and will give manager Roberto Mancini extra flair in midfield.
Tottenham Form: WL 2.88 – Bet365
Tottenham go into Sunday’s clash against Man City slight outsiders and best priced at 2.88 with Bet365. The corresponding game last season ended in a 0-0 draw and this match could well be another tight affair. However, the more attacking approach seen by Roberto Mancini so far this season could work in Spurs favour if they can contain the Citizen’s powerful front line. Tottenham started well last time out against Man United, but a poor second half cost them and they eventually fell to a disappointing 3-0 defeat. Rafael Van Der Vaart was Spurs top league goal scorer last season, and as the Dutch midfielder takes penalties, he looks a good bet at 3.25 with Stan James to score at any time. Spurs home games last season yielded 49 goals, an average of 2.5 a game. Looking at this then, bets of both teams to score first half and over 2.5 goals are looking good, with odds of 4.0 from Skybet and 1.8 from Stan James respectively.
Manchester City Form: WW 2.5 – Skybet
Man City sit top of the table after two games and are the early pace setters in the division. Their big spending has continued as they look to build upon their third placed finish last year, and it must be said they have bought some real quality this summer. More good news for Man City fans is that Roberto Mancini appears to have let his side off their leash this season, as they have scored an impressive 7 goals in their first 2 games. This has left them a little more exposed at the back, as was seen in the game at Bolton last weekend, but they still look good for a title challenge. Taking all of this into account, a 3-1 away win for Man City is looking great value at 21.0 with Betfred. Sergio Aguero has also started well for his new club and is striking up a good partnership with Edin Dzeko, which leaves him a good bet at 6.5 with Bet365 to open the scoring.
Highlighted bets
Man City 3-1 WIN – 21.0 Betfred
Sergio Aguero first goal scorer – 6.5 Bet365
Van Der Vaart anytime scorer – 3.25 Stan James
Tottenham WIN – 2.88 Bet365
Over 2.5 Goals – 1.8 Stan James
Both teams score 1st Half – 4.0 Skybet
By Sam Markham
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Manchester United take on Tottenham in the first Monday night live clash of the season. Man United got off to a good start last Sunday against West Brom, with a 2-1 win, but Tottenham’s game with Everton was called off due to the incidents in North London. This fixture last season ended in a 2-0 win for the home side, but there was also a rather controversial second goal, involving winger Nani and goalkeeper Heurelho Gomes. A repeat of that score line may not be a bad bet, as Spurs have not won any of their last 19 visits to Old Trafford.
Man United Form: WW 1.67 – Bet365
Manchester United have had a good start to the season, with a charity shield win over local rivals Man City and a solid win over West Brom last week. The victory last Sunday wasn’t spectacular, with another moment to forget for new goalkeeper David De Gea, but as they did last season, they ground out a result. Injuries to centre backs Rio Ferdinand and Nemanja Vidic were concerning for the champions, with Ferdinand set to miss several weeks but Vidic should be back sooner. Both players are set to miss the game on Monday, which will mean summer signing Phil Jones will partner Chris Smalling, in what may be an inexperienced partnership that Spurs could target. Another summer signing Ashley Young was very impressive last weekend, and could well be a good bet at 8.5 with Paddy Power to open the scoring. Tottenham don’t have a particularly good record at Old Trafford, not getting anything from their last 8 visits, which is why a 3-1 home win is looking good at 13.0 with Skybet.
Tottenham Form: W 6.0 – Stan James
Unfortunately for Tottenham, their home game last weekend with Everton was called off, so this will be their first league game of the season. Spurs did though, play in a Europa League play off on Thursday night against Hearts, and ended up coming away with a 5-0 victory. Rafael Van Der Vaart had a superb game again, following on from last season, scoring and creating freely. With this in mind, the attacking midfielder is looking a good bet 4.0 with Skybet to score at any time on Monday night. Luka Modric should come back into the side on Sunday, which is good news for Tottenham fans after what has been a relatively slow summer in terms of transfers. However, Harry Redknapp does have a fully fit squad to choose from, and if they can keep tight at the back, then they will be a real handful on the break for Man United’s young back four.
Highlighted Bets
3-1 Home Win – 13.0 Skybet
Ashley Young first scorer – 8.5 Paddy Power
Van Der Vaart anytime scorer – 4.0 Skybet
Tottenham WIN – 6.0 Stan James
Over 3.5 goals – 3.0 William Hill
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