More novice chasing kicks off day three and Sir Des Champs and For Non Stop are both prominent in early ante-post market. The latter readily won the Betfair Novices Chase at Newbury last month and a similar performance would put him bang there for trainer Nick Williams and as for Sir Des Champs, he holds an entry for the Jewson, the RSA Chase and the Arkle.
Copper Bleu took the spoils in 2010 for Richard Johnson and Philip Hobbs at a creditable 12/1. And horses at the lower end of the betting have defied their odds at the expense of favourites. Only one favourite has tasted success in this event and that was James Fanshawe’s Reveillez (9/2) almost five years ago, but these novice handicaps do not flatter in serving up some hot-priced winners. So be sure to explore the market thoroughly and looking for those runners who have placed in their previous runs is always a good place to start. That experience can bring novices’ on and with improvement likely it makes a good all round contest.
This race is a bit of a mismatch in the sense that novices’ who are not quite Arkle quality and do not get the extended three mile trip are often entered. But that’s not to say these large field races lack class because many have gone on to become Grand National runners. The £80,000 purse on offer though, is sometimes enough to lure these handicapped horses for an event like this and steer them clear of the National. Many of those who are entered for the Jewson Novices’ will fancy their chances and the market promises to be active before the off. The fact that five different jockeys and trainers have been victorious in the race makes for a very open contest and potentially another new winner will find its way into the record books.
Facts and stats
Seven year-olds have an 80% strike rate in this race and those carrying around ten stone have impressed in this race. The youngest winner of the race was Paul Nicholls’ Chapoturgeon in 2009; he won at the tender age of five but expect this one to go to one of the older more experienced novices. Mature horses that are unexposed after a light National Hunt season should be feared. The late January Cheltenham Festival trials are always good races to take in with potential novices’ entered for the Jewson Handicap appearing. This opener on day three is a very difficult one to predict but if you do get it right your in for a healthy reward with the average wining price around the 9/1 mark.
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A number of horses that have basked in the glory of winning a championship race at the festival before will often head back to Cheltenham to contest the race the following year. The likes of Big Buck’s and Kauto Star will be bidding to land major honours for the third time. The former will be looking to retain the World Hurdle for the third successive year while the latter will be aiming to get back to winning ways after last year’s blip in the Gold Cup.
It is these runners that usually go off as market leaders the following year and rightly so. The championship races at the festival often sees horses that have won the contest previously go on to score in the race the following year. This now becomes their target for the whole National Hunt season and Imperial Commander will be looking to demonstrate consistency by retaining the Gold Cup this year. Kauto Star has already tasted success in the Cheltenham showpiece twice before and was subsequently priced at 8/11 odds on as he attempted a hat-trick of wins. Paul Nicholls’ star performer fell and failed to justify favouritism but will be back for another crack in 2011. Those who retain the Cheltenham championship races though are usually favourite for a repeat, so the aforementioned Imperial Commander is likely to go off market leader in March – but can he retain it?
Only a select handful of horses retain the four feature races at the festival and thus are deserving of their tags as the very best of their time. If we take a look at those who have retained the major races in recent times; one will come across Best Mate. Henrietta Knight’s classy performer won the retained the Gold Cup twice after winning it in 2002 and scoring the following two years. For the most successful Gold Cup horse ever one must trawl through the record books way back to the 1930s where Golden Miller won it for five consecutive years. Arkle was another successful Gold Cup horse that retained the coveted trophy twice winning it on three successive occasions in the 1960s.
The World Hurdle has been dominated in the last twenty-four months by one horse in particular – Big Buck’s. After his first win in 2009 at odds of 6/1 this star hurdler has gone from strength to strength over obstacles and was sent off 5/6 favourite for the following year’s World Hurdle. Big Buck’s will be bidding to equal Inglis Drever’s record of three wins in this race and is sure to go off shorter than his 2010 victory. It would come as no surprise to see the Paul Nicholls’ trained horse go off at significant odds against which some punters might regard as unbackable odds. Inglis Drever took this event in 2005, 2007 and 2008 and his odds fluctuated dramatically. The Howard Johnson trained gelding first took the spoils as a six-year-old at odds of 5/1 and after missing the race the following year he made up for lost time scoring again at the same odds in 2007. The bookmakers shortened him up somewhat in 2008 but he went in again at 11/8 and his successes previously went someway towards shaping the betting. Big Buck’s is the one to beat this year and it’s hard to see him not emulating this success; certainly he holds a great chance of retaining the World Hurdle.
The last horse to retain the Champion Hurdle was Dessie Hughes’ Hardy Eustace who after his success in 2004 followed it up twelve months later with another commanding display. Binocular won it last time and will be well fancied to retain the race but he has chinks in his armoury that were exposed in the 2009 running. He finished only third that day and despite franking that form with his victory last time – is he a horse who is capable of retaining this championship race? The Nicky Henderson trained French import was sent off at 9/1 for his Champion Hurdle success and one can be sure he goes off much shorter in March’s renewal. Henderson has a most impressive record in this contest and won it three times in as many years with See You Then in the late 1980s.
The Queen Mother Champion Chase is a race which has been won and retained by a number or horses. Badsworth Boy is the most successful horse in this winning it on three occasions although several other runners have won this chase twice. And one of those is Master Minded who will be gunning to equal the record number of wins in 2011 after claiming the cash prizes in both 2008 and 2009. He won his first Queen Mother at odds of 3/1 and went off at an unprecedented 4/11 odds against favourite twelve months later, which he duly obliged. A healthier price will be available for him this year but can he shrug off last year’s disappointment? Or will Big Zeb return to the winner’s enclosure for the second year running?
The Coral Cup and The Fred Winter are two of the races which have been dominated by winners who had won last time out. In fact from 2005-2010, nine of the last ten winners of both these events all had winning form before heading to the Cheltenham festival. This is a statistic that cannot be overlooked in 2011 and one which might just be further reinforced after the four-day period in March. With some of the handicap races being relatively new additions to the Cheltenham festival card, often there is precious little to go regarding form from the race the previous year. This is true of the Fred Winter Novices’ Handicap Hurdle, and although there’s not a lot to go on yet, that statistic keeps appearing – three of the past four winners of this race were successful last time out. So keep it at the forefront of ones mind and hopefully it will pave the way for a profitable 2011 Cheltenham festival!
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Quevega. The wondermare who has dominates this Mares’ hurdle for the last three years. Many people’s banker of the festival, it is hard to see anything troubling Willie Mullins’ eight-year-old as she bids for her fourth consecutive success at the Cheltenham Festival. Dermot Weld’s Triumph Hurdle runner-up Unaccompanied still holds an entry for the race over 2m4f and rates best of the rest. Swincombe Flame will represent Nick Williams and she must be respected.
Ante- post Quevega’s to lose?
It’s really difficult to envisage Quevega not completing the hat-trick here should connections enter him in March. Willie Mullins’ 6yo mare took the £90,000 prize money last year by a comfortable four-and-a-half length margin and was more even more impressive twelve months earlier bolting up by fourteen lengths. However, the flip side is that she’ll be no sort of price such is her record in this race. She previously justified odds of 6/4 (2009) and 2/1 (2008) so it would be no surprise to see her go off at odds on this time – definitely the one they all have to beat. If you are cautious about taking Quevega on at odds against, by all means chance on a longshot because 20/1 Whiteoak rewarded those value punters in the first ever David Nicholson Mares’ Hurdle.
Facts and Stats
Stats for this race are obviously few and far between because there has only been three runnings. But as ever keep a look out for horses from the top stables, Jonjo O’Neill and Donald McCain Jnr are just two to have on your side. Horses from these yards rarely lack the rigours and demands of any race and it is more than likely they will go in search of the £90,000 on offer for the winner. Trial races for this hurdle are worth noting and the Festival Hurdle at Punchestown provided a warm-up for French import Quevega last time so it will be interesting to see if she can make this another stepping stone towards success. She looks a real star of the future this horse and a good showing in this and she could certainly go onto bigger and better things.
The race, named in memory of former National Hunt jockey and trainer David Nicholson, will be the first of the 2011 festival to be ran on Cheltenham’s new course. The runners will still turn left-handed as they head towards the stand finish. This trappy affair will be the final chance to win some of your money back but it should also put the gloss on a terrific inaugural day’s racing.
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The first of three cross-country chases held annually at Cheltenham provides the basis for fifth race of day one at Prestbury Park. Irish-trained winners have dominated this race since its inception in 2005, and Scotsirish could well be horse to continue that trend. The eleven-year-old trained by Willie Mullins currently heads the betting following his Punchestown victory in February, where he beat market rival and 2008 and 2009 Cross Country Chase winner Garde Champetre.
The spoils could however go to Poker De Sivola, who has had an interrupted preparation this year with just a run on the all weather at Southwell to his name this season, but his win at the Festival last year marked him down as a smart stayer and he could have too many gears for many of his rivals here.
The farthest distance of the festival so far will await runners and riders in this one. Three miles and seven furlongs is the trip, which will also include thirty-two obstacles for these five years and older horses. The chase seems to see favourites in the winning enclosure – they have won no fewer than three times in the six times this race has been ran. For this reason, it would be foolish to discount the favourite at post time but Handicaps can be funny renewals. Many were quick to draw a line through the chances of the unfancied Irish chaser, A New Story last year but Michael Hourigan’s 12yo went in at a massive price.
The popularity amongst punters for this race has been high since it’s introduction, but what trends and statistics have been reoccurring in this race? Well, older horses have tended to fair better than their slightly younger rivals – 12yos have had a 50% strike rate since the race was introduced. The Irish contingent of horses will be well fancied to maintain their 100% record in this Handicap Chase so it’s a no-brainer to focus on the entries from across the water. Cheltenham form as ever is also a big advantage, and those with course and distance wins should enter calculations. So ideally, if you piece the stats together you’re looking for an Enda Bolger trained 12yo from Ireland so good luck finding one of those!
Sixteen runners took to the obstacles last year so there will be plenty with chances as they negotiate their way through the trip. Stamina once more is paramount at this extended distance and the horse must jump creditably on the day to hold any chance of winning. But the fact that there are only three Cross Country Chase’s in the jumps calendar means any race of this nature is worth keeping a watchful eye on. Certain trainers will be in and out of form in the run up to March’s festival but any Enda Bolder chaser he readies for this race must hold the greatest chance of winning. So this race might just be one for all those favourite backers out there!
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A large field for this handicap could see Dirar share his hand and some useful form on the flat recently. Gordon Elliott has his stable in fine fettle although this horse is unraced on the Prestbury turf. Therefore, it could pay to shade with ALAIVAN who can continue the good record of horses aged six in this contest. His biggest threat could stem from Via Galilei who looks a progressive type for Gary Moore and is on an upward curve. Get a free £25 bet with William Hill.
All conquering Paul Nicholls
Another one of those handicap races which are ever so difficult to call, and this one is certainly up there with the Pertemps Final Handicap and the Fred Winter from a betting angle. Twenty-eight ran in the contest last years and the first four placing were all filled by horses priced 20/1 bar. This goes to show that market confidence in this race should be taken with a pinch of salt and despite the huge Irish gambles that take place, those from across the water do have a poor record in this hurdle. But the ever present Paul Nicholls’ record isn’t quite so bad. He is the leading trainer for this country handicap readying winners in 2004, 2006 and more recently in 2009. Ruby Walsh took all three rides and they cannot be ruled out once again.
Form guides
The race, which honours retired Irish racehorse trainer Vincent O’Brien, has seen the younger horses perform better than their older rivals in the past decade. Five and six-year-olds have won six of the last eight runnings of this event and one might conclude that older horses have lacked the stamina to see out the two miles and a bit trip. But Pedrobob was an exception to this trend when he won by a length in 2007 as a 9yo gelding. The fluctuation in past results means the form guides for this race are uncertain to pinpoint a potential winner. An improving consistent sort could prove a good place to start when scouring down the card for the County Handicap Hurdle. The large field means there will be plenty of avenues to explore, it’s just picking the right one!
Perhaps, a little sigh of relief for those favourite backers in this race though – three market leaders have won this since the turn of the millennium. The last of those was in fact Paul Nicholls’ Desert Quest in 2006 who went of 4/1 joint favourite. But will the 2011 Handicap Hurdle go to one of those at the head of the market or will another blockbuster price winner send the bookies into delirium?
Bet 365
Victor Chandler
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Another puzzling handicap in the shape of the Coral Cup provides us with the fifth race on day two of the Cheltenham Festival. At likely bigger odds, the winner of the Coral Cup is traditionally hard to predict and the early market signals suggest the Jonjo O’Neill-trained Get Me Out Of Here could be a possible contender along with last year’s winner Carlito Brigante. Get a free £25 bet with William Hill.
Favourite backer?
Favourites once more have underperformed in this one, only two have won since the race was introduced in 1993. The last of those was Xenophon in 2003 and we must take the 2011 favourite with a pinch of salt if recent results are anything to behold. Big price horses have gone in at this race (some as big as 33/1) and the lottery of the race could well continue in March should we see an unfancied outsider steal the headlines. Trends for the handicap are few and far between but horses at the to pend of the weights and with relatively low handicap marks have filled the placings in recent events, but it remains to be seen whether this will be the way forward again.
Chancing on an outsider with solid form and potential is probably your best bet in the Coral Cup. As far as favourites go, well to be perfectly honest they don’t go. Well, they don’t go well anyway, so it might be best to overlook them and fork out some value in the field. You’ll have your hands full however because you won’t be short of choice because twenty-eight runners contested the 2010 running.
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Victor Chandler
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It would be fitting if David Pipe could win this race named after his father Martin who retired in 2006. He sends out a few runners but his best chance in the race probably rests with Shoegazer who showed up well over this distance at Ffos Las most recently. ALARAZI looks the one to be on though after his success in the Paddy Power Imperial Cup Handicap Hurdle at Sandown last Saturday. The main worry would be if the race has come too soon for Lucy Wadham’s representative, in that case Whoops A Daisy must be feared after suffering only one defeat in his five starts under rules. Get a free £25 bet with William Hill.
Conditional Jockeys Hurdle odds
Arguably it is right that conditional jockeys do get to ride at the best National Hunt meeting in the calendar. They would probably not get the chance to deliver on the biggest of stages without being able to claim their allowances. Felix de Giles was the first conditional rider to take this hurdle aboard Nicky Henderson’s Andytown two years ago and was soon followed by Johnny Farrelly twelve months later. Both jockeys ironically now have ninety career wins to their respective names but probably none as sweet as their sole Cheltenham Festival successes. But which jockey will revel in the moment of riding a 2011 festival winner?
Form and favourites
The form guides for this handicap hurdle are hard to distinguish, mainly because there have only ever been two runnings of this event. But Martin Pipe’s son David will be trying his utmost to send out a winner as this is the race which honours his father. Last year he sent out seven horses in the 2009 event but the best found a couple too good for his best performer on the day, Big Eared Fran. Last year he readied only one runner in Ashkazar who went off 9/2 favourite under Hadden Frost but again could only manage a mid-field position. Better luck this time perhaps? He will certainly win this race during his time as a trainer so keep a track of his runner(s) when the final few are declared because they are sure to hold every chance.
The favourite in this race has been nowhere in both races. The aforementioned Ashkazar fluffed his lines last year and the well backed Big Eared Fran, another one of Pipe’s, finished a disappointing third after being well supported in the betting. Subsequently, we’ve seen Andytown take the spoils at 25/1 (2009) and Pause and Clause last time at an attractive 14/1 arrive home first, so is it really another one for the an outsider? It is a handicap remember so concentrate on those that might not be on such a tight grip from the handicapper and may have been let in lightly.
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Victor Chandler
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The Jockey’s influence is so often overlooked in horse racing. Punters are quick to point the finger at those marshalling horses if it loses, but never has a damned cliché been so true – the jockey is only as good as the horse he/she rides. Essentially, the rider is responsible for the decision making tactics in the race, whether this be to pin the horse up against the rail or patiently restrain it at the back of the field. These decisions must be made in split seconds and there is always that element of luck that needs to be taken into account. Nevertheless, a good jockey cannot work miracles on a horse but it can give it the best possible chance of winning a race; so when placing your bets consider the mount of your chosen fancy. And why not have a flutter on the human responsible for steering your horse to victory by exploring the top jockey market for the 2011 Cheltenham Festival?
Ruby Walsh Cheltenham top jockey odds
Being the top jockey at the Cheltenham festival requires many qualities; fitness, awareness but chief of these is a determination to win. And the latter can be said about many top riders but none more so than the reigning Cheltenham top jockey Ruby Walsh. The Irish National Hunt Champion has ridden 25 Cheltenham Festival winners and has been leading pilot at the fixture five times. He’s sure to be booked to ride several well-fancied contenders this year in his bid to successfully defend the jockeys’ title. It’s inevitable that winning jockeys will continue to get better mounts and Ruby is no different, but can he continue his excellent record at Cheltenham at the expense of his challengers?
Robert Thornton Cheltenham top jockey odds
There has been little to smile about for the English riders who have had their work cut out up against their Irish counterparts. But could things fall into place for the returning Robert ‘Choc’ Thornton after he scooped the Festival’s top jockey award in 2007 with four winners. Alan King’s stable jockeys greatest achievements are all linked to the Cheltenham Festival where he has claimed top honours in the Champion Hurdle, the Queen Mother Champion Chase and the Arkle to name but a few. The Darlington-born rider has spent much of the season on the sidelines nursing a knee ligament injury and providing he comes through his rehabilitation without any setbacks he should be fit to participate at the meeting. Can he produce a St George’s flag in the winners’ enclosure at Cheltenham again?
AP McCoy Cheltenham top jockey odds
Last year’s Grand National win was a case of fifteenth time lucky for the ever popular Tony McCoy aboard Don’t Push It. The Northern Irish Champion Jockey now has few targets left to chase after collecting the biggest prize in horse racing at Aintree last April. McCoy will fancy his chances of ousting Ruby Walsh as top navigator at the forthcoming fixture thirteen years after becoming the first Irish jockey to win consecutive Cheltenham Festival top jockey titles. Having ridden over 3,000 winners in his career, AP is a shrewd contender to ride the most winners this year for ex-jockey Jonjo O’Neill’s stable.
Other jockeys in the top jockey betting
Other potentially well fancied jockeys for the title include a trio of Irish raiders. Last years Gold Cup winner Paddy Brennan exposed the weaknesses of the well-fancied pair of Kauto Star and Denman when he led Imperial Commander to Cheltenham glory. Brennan must stand a chance after that success as do fellow countrymen Graham Lee and Barry Geraghty who claimed the Cheltenham Top Jockey accolade in 2005 and 2003 respectively. The best chance of the prize remaining in England probably rests with Richard Johnson who predominantly rides for the Philip Hobbs yard. He along with Geraghty, are the only two remaining jockeys riding today to have won all four Championship races at Cheltenham.
The Cheltenham Festival Top Jockey award is certainly an interesting market to consider. One that will only intensify in the build up towards March when we will catch a glimpse of the horses these jockeys are given to ride during the races.
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A good racing event as the Cheltenham Festival is world renowned for, requires a good base for the thousands of fans that pack in to sample the action track-side. And Cheltenham has just that with three enclosures; The Sun’s Best Mate enclosure, The Tattersalls and The Centaur are most efficient for witnessing the great National Hunt racing the racecourse never fails to offer. These areas give great links to the paddock where punters often stand to see the horses being paraded and to the viewing steps situated near to the winning post.
Tattersalls Enclosure/ Best Mate Enclosure
The Tattersalls enclosure at the course makes for extensive viewing and contributes to housing many of the 67,500 spectator capacity. A restaurant named ‘The Cheltenham Gold Cup’ is a popular attraction amongst Cheltenham visitors who are housed in the this enclosure. They also are granted access behind the stands to the unsaddling enclosures and during the festival, the Guiness Village which hcan be found opposite the last fence extends enclosures with yet more viewing steps, refreshment bars and entertainment areas.
When the Supreme Novices’ Hurdle kicks off the festival the infamous ‘Cheltenham roar’ will raise the roof as the decibels in and around the enclosures enter fever pitch. And in between races restaurants, bars and betting shops can be found in the Best Mate enclosure while the Tatersalls and Club area is the most exclusive enclosure with the best viewing for festival badge holders. Over a thousand seats can be found here in front of a big screen where race goers can sample the early stages of each race before they come into vision close home.
Betting Ring
And if you are wondering where all money exchange hands you don’t have to look far because there are a wide choice of betting stands scattered around the enclosures. The larger chain bookmakers such as Totesport have their own windows on the different levels in each enclosure but the betting ring is where most punters will be stood as they seek to get the best possible price about their fancy. Standing areas are designated to welcome wining runners and riders as they make their way into the winning enclosure to pose for photographs.
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With twenty six races packed into four days of reacing, the 2011 Cheltenham Festival is set to be one of the most exciting yet. Our Cheltenham betting guide will provide odds, tips and free bets for each Cheltenham race. Here is the race-by-race schedule for 2011.
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