The Cambridgeshire Handicap is the feature race on the final day of Newmarket’s three-day Cambridgeshire meeting. And although the list of entries has yet to be finalised, of the seventy-nine remaining following the confirmation stage, Nationalism is the early ante-post favourite. The John Gosden trained 3yo colt won by three lengths on his handicap debut at Goodwood at the start of September and connections are confident about his chances on Saturday, albeit under a penalty. In his four career starts, Nationalism has recorded two wins and race sponsors Totesport have him chalked him up at 4/1. Gosden is bidding to win the £160,000 prize for the third time in the last four years and must stand a great chance saddling the colt in this race over a mile-and-a-furlong.
Of the large field expected to go to post, Luca Cumani is hoping to enter the progressive Start Right. Under Kieren Fallon, the 3yo gelding won the Tatler Summer Season Stakes Handicap towards the back end of July. However, Kieren was unable to justify the horses favouritism at the Curragh last time out despite being sent off the 5/2 market leader. Instead, Start Right was well held in midfield before finishing strongly in the final furlong to take fourth, but given a clearer run in the Cambridgeshire he could be a major player. SkyBet are offering 10/1 and at the very least he must be worth an each-way squeak.
Ransom Note is an interesting runner for the Barry Hills yard after his victory in the Addleshaw Goddard Handicap at York in mid August. That race was over a mile and the extra furlong should be no problem with son Michael Hills expected to take the ride once more. The 3yo colt has predominantly raced and won over seven furlongs and a mile but is sure to be there or thereabouts come the final furlong marker. He is 12/1 (Betfred) to follow up his win last time and hand Barry Hills his second Cambridgeshire win two decades after Risen Moon’s 1990 Newmarket success.
Gerard Butler is another trainer gunning for Cambridgeshire Gold after scooping the first leg of the autumn double (Cambridgeshire and Cesarewitch) in 2002 with Beauchamp Pilot. Elliptical represents Butler this year despite being collared by Forte Dei Marmi at Newbury recently. The American import will be glad Cumani will not saddle Forte Dei Marmi, who has beaten him on no fewer than three occasions, for the last big handicap of the year. Therefore Elliptical could now get his head in front and is sure to run well at 16/1 (Totesport).
Of the other potentially well fancied handicapped horses, Absinthe from the Walter Swinburn stable makes some appeal. The 4yo hat-trick seeking gelding is sure to be ridden by Adam Kirkby, however the horse did scope dirty after exercise in early September. Connections may not be overly concerned but it may be best to ebb on the side of caution before backing Absinthe at 12/1 (Bet365). Shrewd Irish trainer Tony Martin could saddle Pires (16/1 SkyBet), the 6yo will be one of the most experiences runners in the field but has done much of his racing over further distances. He may have had one chance to many to land a big handicap and is well exposed.
Proponent (20/1 Coral), Sarrsar (16/1 Bet365) and Capponi (14/1 Bet365) are other fearful contenders, the latter representing the in-form Mark Johnston. The 3yo colt has won four of his career starts, two of those on ground described as good to firm, and has had the beating of Ransom Note once before. The last two runnings of this race have thrown up 25/1 and 16/1 winners respectively and Capponi stands a real chance of going in at a large price.
A great race is sure to unfold on Newmarket’s Rowley Mile on Saturday, but who will take the first leg of the “Autumn Double”?
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The big handicap on Saturday falls on Champions Day at Newmarket races with this year’s Totesport Cesarewitch seemingly very difficult to call. The Cesarewitch is a real test of stamina over 2 miles 2 furlongs and there promises to be some interesting betting opportunities. The uphill final furlong could catch several of these runners out, so it is important the horse not only stays the distance, but stays it well. Mostly ran in a straight line with just one right-handed turn, the latter of the race is run on the Rowley mile and its Dermot Weld’s Universal Truth that heads the market at 13/2 with race sponsors Totesport.
The Irish raider is yet to run outside Ireland but has racked up an impressive 50% strike rate in his ten career starts. The 5yo gelding went off favourite at Galway last time but it was far from plain sailing pipping Drumfire by just half a length. However, that was at a reduced 2m and Universal Truth shapes as though the extra 2 furlongs will suit. Testing conditions shouldn’t be a problem either, but the question remains as to whether his stamina will hold-out?
Red Cadeaux is next in the betting at 10/1 (Totesport) and has as good a chance as any in this large field. Ed Dunlop’s 4yo is top on timeform ratings and finished a good second behind Theola in the trial of this race over course and distance last time. The gelding is well handicapped, seems to stay well enough and looks a good bet to go close. Eoin Griffin’s Admiral Barry can be found at a similar price (10/1 Totesport) but has a bit to prove at present. Another horse that has done all of it’s racing in Ireland, he tackles this distance for the first time and this will be a real test of his credentials. Despite winning three times in since his introduction to racing in 2007, he just seems a little vulnerable at that price and there may be better value to be had further up the market.
Ollie Pears sends the interesting My Arch back to Newmarket where he won last time out. The 8yo is one of the more exposed horses that will go to post but represents great each value at 11/1 with Totesport. Kieren Fallon delivered him at just the right time in his last run getting home by a neck and with course experience to his name, it would be foolish to discount him from calculations. Bergo’s another that has drifted in the ante-post market recently, he was as short as 12/1 earlier this week but is now available at 20/1 with most firms. The German import is a progressive sort that has racked up seven wins from fourteen career starts and was beaten by a good horse in Drunken Sailor last time. He must be worth an each-way shout at the very least despite this concerning drift.
Other notable horses with proven stamina include the Simon Pearce trained Dayia (20/1) and Kayf Aramis (33/1) who also falls into that proven stayer category. Whatever happens, it promises to be a difficult race to call so a market inspection prior to placing any bets could prove significant. After the favourite last year Darley Sun was sent off at 9/2 and won, it seems this year the winner will almost certainly return at a larger price. But who will take the £160,000 purse? Get a free £25 bet when you open an account with Stan James this weekend
The Supreme Novices Hurdle is the first race of the 2009 Cheltenham Festival, and looks set to be a cracking Grade 1 race featuring the likes of Cousin Vinny and Torphichen.
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The oldest of Britain’s five classics and the last to be run in the horse racing calendar year takes place at Doncaster on Saturday. The St. Leger Stakes run over a mile and six furlongs sees last months Great Voltigeur winner Rewilding head the sixteen entries. The 13/8 favourite with race sponsors Ladbrokes will be ridden by Frankie Dettori and the Godolphin yard who are bidding for their sixth success in this race will be confident of a big run. Mahmood Al Zarooni who trains the 3yo colt is hopeful of emulating stable trainer Saeed Bin Suroor’s victory with 14/1 shot Mastery twelve months ago and his Rewilding looks very much the one to beat here.
Doncaster’s fast galloping track will prove the real thoroughbred test as they swing left towards home and the emphasis with the Leger is therefore on the stamina side. And this could fall into the hands of Snow Fairy who enhanced her claims for the classic with a fine display in the Ebor at York recently going down only by three lengths to Henry Cecil’s classy Midday. If conditions are in her favour the filly from Ed Dunlop’s stable could be a shrewd contender at 6/1 (William Hill) to add to her success in the Epsom Oaks.
Another horse looking to reverse the result of the Great Voltigeur Stakes is the Ballydoyle trained Midas Touch. Aidan O’Brien’s colt was headed approaching the final furlong by Rewilding but cannot be ruled out this time around. In his six career starts he has two Group 1 seconds but seems reluctant to get his head in front, so could the St.Leger finally bring around a change in his fortunes?
Midas Touch is currently trading at 7/1 with Ladbrokes along with another eye-catching runner in Arctic Cosmos. William Buick rides for the in form John Gosden aiming for his first classic win less than four years after riding his first ever winner. The 3yo American import ran a little green and didn’t handle the Glorious Goodwood track last time but still ran a great Leger trial. And Buick is confident his mount will relish the extra two furlongs from the mile-and-a-half he has been going saying: “He’ll be a better horse for that extra distance, he’s been crying out for that.” And although unproven at the trip, how fitting would it be for Britain’s oldest classic to fall to the youngest jockey in the race?
No other trainer has a better chance than Aidan O’Brien in the Labrokes St.leger judging by his potential six entries. Joshua Tree is one of those in with a real chance of springing a surprise at a creditable price. The Irish raider currently trading at 10/1 (Totesport) showed little in the way of rustiness in the Voltigeur after almost twelve months away from the track. He stayed on really well to finish third behind Rewilding and Midas Touch and there could well be further improvement to come from that showing. O’Brien could also supplement Cape Blanco for the race at a £45,000 cost before Monday’s deadline after he blitzed a smart field including Juddmonte International Stakes winner Rip Van Winkle at Leopardstown on Saturday.
Best of the rest in the field ready to take to the Town Moor turf might well by James Given’s Dandino. This progressive colt has all the credentials required to win a race of this kind; class, stamina and the ability to accelerate to name but a few and Paul Mulrennan takes the ride on the not to be discarded 8/1 (Boylesports) shot. But there are those punters that feel the race is Rewilding’s to lose. However, hold that thought because outstanding favourites have a mixed record in years gone by. In fact, the last favourite to win was Sixites Icon in 2006 but all three market leaders have been beaten since then. This includes Frankie’s ride last year on Kite Wood who could only finish second to the 14/1 Mastery. And with this still fresh in the mind, could another big priced horse be the first home on Saturday leaving a trail of more fancied runners in its wake?
By Mikey Mumford
Sandown Park says farewell to the National Hunt season with the Bet365 Gold Cup Chase taking centre stage on Saturday. A field of 25 runners will head to post for the race over 3 miles and 5 furlongs but Nigel Twiston-Davies looks to hold a strong hand with Foxhunters’ Chase winner Baby Run the solid favourite on the early tissue.
Sam Twiston-Davies’ will ride the 11-year-old gelding replacing his brother, Willie on the French-bred horse. Willie had partnered Baby Run on his four previous starts – winning three of those and falling at the Cheltenham Festival when in command 2 out. However, Sam takes the plum ride on the 11/2 favourite and his charge looks good value at the head of the market. He goes on the softer ground and his victory at the Grand National meeting at Aintree capped off an impressive season where he has also tasted Chase success at Wetherby and Haydock. The only negative is that he is unraced beyond 3 miles and 4 furlongs but the extra furlong here shouldn’t inconvenience him a great deal.
Next in the market is Balthazar King for Philip Hobbs and Richard Johnson. He landed a Novices’ Chase at Cheltenham earlier this month to compliment his easy win at Hereford in a similar event on his penultimate start. This though is his toughest assignment to date and despite running well in defeat at the back end of 2010, he has yet to come up against any real classy opponents this year. He has had two recent runs and that could either for and against him but he looks the stables first string at 13/2. Triggerman (12/1) is Hobbs’ other runner but Dickie Johnson prefers Balthazar King.
Aimigayle is an interest runner for Suzy Smith’s yard after being pulled up on his reappearance after 18 months off at Sandown on his penultimate outing. He was turned out quickly for the Cheltenham Festival and ran a massive race at 25/1 behind Holmewood Legend in the Byrne Group Plate. On that evidence, Colin Bolger’s mount should go well but the mare might be best watched after so long on the sidelines. Meanus Dandy (12/1) could come in for significant support for Paul Nicholls who won this race in 2001 and 2003 with Ad Hoc. Ruby Walsh saddles the 8-year-old gelding – a previous course winner and impressive at Wincanton three starts back in a competitive listed event.
Ferdy Murphy’s Poker De Sivola won the Amateur Riders’ Novices’ Chase at the 2010 Cheltenham Festival but has struggled to find his form this season. Unseated in the Scottish National at Ayr last week and a distant sixth in the Cross Country at the festival have failed to suggest he could win an event like this. He has stayed 4 miles before though and is currently 14/1. At the same price is Alan King’s representative West End Rocker who can count himself a little unlucky after being brought down at becher’s brook in the Grand National when travelling fluently. This 9-year-old won a valuable chase at Warwick in January and could run a big race at an each way price.
Last year’s winner Church Island goes for glory again for Michael Hourigan but he hasn’t won since his success last April. At 20/1 his recent form has not pulled up any trees and he looks an unlikely winner this time. At bigger prices, Faasel (25/1) could sneak in to the money on his distant second to Junior in the Kim Muir and Iconoclast (25/1) could make the places after winning his last two – albeit weaker races.
It promises to be a fascinating spectacle and the meeting will also witness the finest flat horses as the card combines flat and jump racing. Richard Hannon’s Dick Turpin contests the Bet365 Mile (the next race on the card) and the action continues on Sunday with the Class 1 Classic Trial the highlight of day two of the meeting.
By Mikey Mumford
Three horses yet to taste defeat will contribute to the ten strong field for Doncaster’s feature race on Saturday – The Racing Post Trophy. The last Group 1 race of the British flat racing season sees Native Khan, Dunboyne Express and Titus Mills battling to preserve their 100% wins to runs ratio. But Frankie Dettori’s ride on the Michael Halford trained Casamento, sees this 2yo colt head the market at a solid 5/2 with William Hill. The ante-post betting ring is in full swing as expected with plenty of runners coming in for cash, but who will the honours in this straight mile dash?
Let’s start with the favourite then. Sheikh Mohammad owns the colt and despite him finding one too good in the September running of the National stakes he delivered last time, sent out at 4/6 he took the Beresford Stakes by four lengths. Frankie will do the steering and Casamento will certainly come in for more money before post time and rightly so as he sets a clear standard on form. He’s beaten a group 1 winner in Aidan O’Brien’s Zoffany and Stan James have him as short as 7/4. He is probably the one to beat but there some interesting runners in this contest.
Ed Dunlop’s Native Khan is unbeaten and has been reported to be ready to run in this race providing the ground does not turn very soft. The soon-to-be crowned Champion jockey Paul Hanagan takes the ride and he’s been impressed with the colt after riding him at home. The grey will be easy to spot in this field, and he has taken the eye in his first two career outings so a big run is expected. Ladbrokes list him at 8/1 which represents great value but can this French import take this with the conditions underfoot a slight worry?
There is a lot to like about Irish raider Dunboyne Express. Kevin Prendergast’s 2yo currently tops the Racing Post’s website poll for predicting the winner of the race with almost a third of the votes. This just shows how exciting a prospect this colt really is and at around the 7/2 (Paddy Power) mark it would be a surprise to not see him get in the mix. Wins previously at the Curragh and Leopardstown mean he won’t give up his unbeaten tag without a fight and it will be interesting to monitor him in the market before the off. Likewise with the final unbeaten horse Titus Mills, who Kieren Fallon will saddle. Brian Meehan has got his 2yo’s in great form of late and after making all at odds on at Goodwood last time he seems way overpriced with SkyBet’s 10/1.
Master of Hounds is one of two entries for Ballydoyle master trainer Aidan O’Brien and if its value you’re looking for he could be the one to be one out of the two. The American colt will be marshalled by Johnny Murtagh and Labrokes go top price with him at 7/1. Earlier in the week he could’ve been snapped up at 9/1 so clearly the dollar is coming in for this smart performer who won a weak event last time out at Tipperary. The competition is sure to be a lot tougher on Saturday and the only worry is that Dunboyne Express has had the beating of him before. But that was only by a short head, so can he reverse the placings when they meet on Saturday. Seville is Aidan O’Brien’s other runner but he’s on the drift ever so slightly in the ante-post rings pushed out to 6/1 from an initial 9/2 at Stan James. Colm O’Donoghue will take the ride aboard Seville but this price looks a little short based on his maiden win. The fact Murtagh has chosen to ride Master of Hounds speaks volumes about his chances and slight preference is for him as Aidan looks to continue his impressive record in this race (won it 3 times in last 10 years).
The remainder of the runners are all 20/1 bar but Toolain from the Jarvis yard could have minor place claims. Forgiving his last run where he didn’t appear to handle the soft ground he has solid claims as long as the ground is good or faster. The Clerk of Doncaster’s course expects the going to good, good to soft in places so depending on the track he may have a slight each way squeak at 20/1 (Bet365). It’s difficult to envisage Karam Albaari (20/1), Dubawi Gold (25/1) and Zaidan (33/1) making any sort of impression who were all well beaten on their respective runs last time. But this is racing and stranger things have happened, but expect one at the head of the market to take the £200,000 purse! If you are betting on the racing Post Trophy, why not open an account with Betfred who are offering a free £50 bet.
By Mikey Mumford
On Saturday 16th November, The Paddy Power Gold Cup takes place on the Cheltenham race track. The Grade 3 handicapped race has a total of fifteen fences to jump, and sits at a length of 2 miles, 4 and a half furlongs.
Because the race itself is relatively short with fences to clear, it is a rarity for a heavier Horse, such as over 12 stone, to win the race. In fact, the last time a Horse weighing over 12 stone won The Paddy Power Gold Cup was in 1994.
The bookmakers favourite seems to be ‘Chapoturgeon’. Trained by the successful Paul Nicholls, ‘Chapoturgeon’ is listed at 6/1 at many bookies, including Coral, Ladbrokes, SkyBet and Paddy Power. Paddy Power also has 6 year-old ‘Poquelin’ joint favourite with ‘Chapoturgeon’ at 6/1. However, Sporting Bet has ‘Poquelin’ at 8/1, which could turn out to be a very good bet, as only one month ago, on 17th October, ‘Poquelin’ finished 1st out of 13 horses at the 3.15 Cheltenham, where the Horse broke away from the pack, so much so that it was able to ease the final 50 yards; clearly showing that the Horse knows the track.
If you are looking for a Horse that will give you a significant return, but still have a good chance of a finish, look no further than ‘Tranquil Sea’. Although ‘Tranquil Sea’ has not had the greatest of Years over at Cheltenham, it hit form towards the end of October and it’s odds are shortening over at Tote Sport, and is currently listed at 10/1, and shortened at ¼ each way, therefore if you bet now on ‘Tranquil Sea’ each way, you can double your money if placed; and judging by the bookies shortening of odds, it looks like this could well happen.
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As we prepare to say goodbye to York’s Dante Festival – step up Newbury and the JLT Lockinge Stakes. The 53rd running of this Group One event will be run over the straight mile where Canford Cliffs will take on nine rivals as he looks to continue where he left off as a classy 3-year-old. Of this opposition, he will come head-to-head with stablemate Dick Turpin who he had a length behind in the St. James’ Palace Stakes at Ascot in June. So, it promises to be an enthralling renewal headed by the Richard Hannon trained pair.
There’s little doubt Canford Cliffs is the horse they all have to beat in the Lockinge. Last year he scooped the Irish 2,000 Guineas and the Susex Stakes sandwiched between his victory in the St. James’ Palace at Royal Ascot. Each time Richard Hughes has got serious with him he’s proved a class act and had Dick Turpin a length behind on his penultimate run. If all goes well in running Canford Cliffs will prove a tough nut to crack at odds on.
Dick Turpin is interesting in the sense that he’s already had a run this year. He won with considerable ease on his reappearance in the Bet365 mile at Sandown three weeks ago and has beat Canford Cliffs in the Greenham last season. Three-time champion jockey Ryan Moore takes the ride and Dick Turpin could surprise a few who think this one is a forgone conclusion. At 7/2 he looks the value in the race.
After the success of Midday in the Dante on Thursday Henry Cecil has another fine chance here with Prince Khalid Abdulla’s Twice Over. This 6-year-old landed a fourth win in the Coral-Eclipse at Sandown in July but flopped in the Dubai World Cup in March. Back on home soil he stands a real chance if fully tuned up. At 7/1 he looks a bet to nothing each way and had Dick Turpin trailing in the Juddmonte in August.
A real genuine and consistent sort is Cityscape (12/1) who has done much of his running over a mile. He notched successive Group One events for Roger Charlton last campaign and beat Premio Loco a long way on his penultimate run. The only negative is Dick Turpin had his measure recently although he is expected to get better ground this time around.
Michael and Barry Hills team up with Red Jazz but he looks up against it in this company. Predominantly raced at 7f he is likely to find a couple too good here as is Premio Loco who will have George Baker in the saddle. He has run poorly of late and finished eighth of nine in a Group One which Cityscape won last time, so he is another probably best watched on this occasion.
Of the rest, the Godolphin runner Shakespearean has failed to pull up any trees on recent form and is overlooked. Likewise Beacon Lodge, who despite winning a listed sprint at Haydock last week is significantly upped in class here. Of those with an outside squeak Balthazaar’s Gift is capable of upsetting his larger odds won a competitive Group 2 at Doncaster at the end of last season; certainly one to keep an eye on. Worthadd completes the line-up and any market confidence would be significant.
Probably a two-horse race in all honesty with the Richard Hannon pair likely to be scrapping it out for the £175,000 prize. It would be no surprise to Canford Cliffs steam home by a lengthy margin but Twice over on his best form should run a race if his Meydan exertions haven’t took too much out of him. Dick Turpin looks the the value bet at 7/2 for the 2011 running of the JLT Lockinge Stakes.
By Mikey Mumford
A slightly disappointing field of eight will go to post for the John Smith’s Hurdle at Wetherby on Saturday. Considering there were sixteen declared as late as Thursday, a somewhat depleted number of runners will do battle over 3m1f. But of those still left, there is a case to made for several but the real puzzle could lie with which horse goes the best fresh. The first three vying for favouritism all seem to go well fresh after lengthy lay offs and but it’s the Nicky Henderson trained Duc De Regniere who may well go off the shortest. Get the latest betting tips in our horse racing betting section.
The Racing Post have napped Duc De Regniere and he is currently best priced 9/4 with Victor Chandler after his neck victory in a Grade 2 limited handicap at Cheltenham in April. The 8yo gelding has won eight of his eighteen career starts and has run well over fences and the feeling is that he will prove just as good once more over hurdles. The French import finished third to the impressive Big Buck’s at Newbury last year and it seems Barry Geraghty’s mount sets the benchmark in this open race.
Next in the market comes Tidal Bay from the Howard Johnson yard. He’s another horse who has been left trailing in the wake of Big Buck’s and will be glad Paul Nicholls’ excellent gelding has not been entered in this one. Tidal Bay can be found around the 5/2 mark with William Hill and is another that puts his best forward after a spell out from the track. He finished six lengths short of Big Bucks at Aintree in April last time out and has a chance on that form knowing that he shouldn’t come up against his class on Saturday. He’s ran well at this course previously and must be taken seriously in the betting. As should last years winner Fair Along. This German raider trained by Philip Hobbs scored by a massive eighteen lengths here twelve months ago and while it is very unlikely it’ll be as easy this time, he merits his position as a solid 7/2 (Stan James) shot. The 8yo last appeared in the World Hurdle at Cheltenham but finished a disappointing tenth that day in a race which, yes you guessed it Big Bucks won! He’ll no doubt have to bounce right back to form but the majority of his jumping wins came last year from October-December so you would expect him to be thereabouts once more.
Kayf Aramis is an interesting runner simply because of the stables record in this race. Nigel Twiston-Davies has won this race twice in the last four years and his recent exploits on the flat will ensure he lacks nothing in fitness. Probably one of the most exposed horses in the race with sixty-four career starts, he has won over this distance before and the conditions underfoot look sure to suit which means he can’t be ignored at 17/2 (Victor Chandler). This 8yo represents good each way value, the only worry being he failed to win over hurdles in nine attempts last season but not to be discounted with Paddy Brennan in the saddle.
The prices start to get a little larger now as we analyse the chances of Alan King’s Blazing Bailey. He won at odds on in his penultimate outing at Leicester, but that was a Novices chase and only three runners went to post. And despite a finishing third at Wincanton in March he was still thirteen lengths off the pace. Far from the force he was in the 2008 season, his poor showings in Novices this year justify his longshot 10/1 odds (Bet365). May be best watched once more and likely he’ll have to settle for place claims at the most. Raslan is next in the market at 12/1 (Victor Chandler) but does arrive at Wetherby in decent form for David Pipe. The 7yo gelding has had some recent track time unlike some of the opposition, taking a handicap hurdle at Newton Abbot in August and following up with placings in September and October. Danny Cook takes the ride and although he will be unable to claim a 3lb allowance, he could run a huge race at a tasty price. A negative however is that he has done most of his racing over much shorter and the trip could be a cause for concern. Coastley (33/1) and Majestic Mayhem (50/1) make up the field but both look out of their depth in this company and are likely to struggle against their classier opponents. Get a free bet for this race here.
Duc De Regniere will most definitely go off shorter than his current 9/4 but he can justify favouritism by landing the John Smith’s Hurdle for Nicky Henderson. His profile is progressive and can capitalise most from those horses retuning from a break and take the £43,000 purse!
If you are betting on the John Smith’s Hurdle, why not open an account with Betfred who are offering a free £50 bet.
By Mikey Mumford
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