Yearly Archives: 2011
Manchester United v Arsenal betting
Manchester United v Arsenal betting preview 28/08/2011
Manchester United: League Position: 2nd, League Form: WW
Manchester United have started this season with shows of scintillating attacking verve. Free flowing football with pace and variation has seen the Champions sweep aside Tottenham last weekend and West Brom the week before, where they were a touch less consistent in their rhythm but had spells of utter domination that were remarkably easy on the eye. The second goal against Spurs on Monday was particularly irresistible and should be seen by any who loves gorgeous goals.
The most impressive players this year have arguably been two who did not play for the team last year. Not new signings, but returning loanees. Cleverley and Welbeck, who combined for the latter’s goal against Tottenham, made the last England squad and have fitted into the side like experienced pros, and have comfortably filled the boots of Javier Hernandez and Paul Scholes for the time being.
The defence that has had to protect the shaky new ‘keeper David De Gea was without both Ferdinand and Vidic last week, yet Ferdinand may return this weekend. If not Phil Jones and Jonny Evans will line up centrally, with Smalling at right back, and that defence is definitely there to be attacked. Although talented, it is just not the masterful backline that Ferdinand and Vidic command. Otherwise, weaknesses are hard to find.
Arsenal: League Position: 14th, League Form: DL
Fabregas and Nasri are finally gone, and Arsene has yet to move in the transfer department since their moves were completed, and as such Arsenal go into this game looking significantly weaker than how they ended last season. In fact, they look weaker than when they were easily beaten by Liverpool 2-0 at home last weekend. Along with the two big names now sold, Arsenal are without Alex Song, Gervinho, Frimpong, Wilshere and possibly Vermaelen. That leaves them short in a squad that lacks depth.
Whilst they looked good midweek against Udinese, securing their Champions League place with a 2-1 win in Italy, they were second best at home to Liverpool, never looked like scoring at Newcastle the week before, and are in a little bit of turmoil as a club. The game they wanted least of all right now is a trip to Old Trafford. They are in their worst run of league form under Arsene Wenger, their worst run since 1995, with only 13 points taken from their last 13 game, whilst they have also won just a single away match in their last eight Premiership away games.
And their record at Old Trafford? Eight goals in 19 Premier League visits, and have won only one of the last eight matches against United in all competitions, losing six of those. They have one real quality player available, Robin Van Persie, and it would be a lot to ask for him to win this single handed.
Match Prediction: Manchester United WIN – 1.53 ToteSport
This is the right time for Manchester United to play Arsenal. In a game where Arsenal’s main advantage is the middle of the park, the Gunners are without Wilshere, Frimpong, Diaby and Song. Ramsey and Rosicky have a job on their hands to contain two in form youngsters in Cleverley and Anderson, whilst United may throw experienced heads like Carrick, Fletcher or Giggs into the battle to control the midfield.
Even the sparkling attack of Arsenal is lacking, with Nasri obviously absent and Gervinho still suspended. Frankly, their attacking threat is one man, Robin Van Persie, unless Walcott and Arshavin can find some form and consistency.
Until Arsene Wenger spends some money it is hard to see them beating a team who did not lose at all at home last season, are unbeaten in seven United vs Arsenal ties at Old Trafford and look in top condition.
The rhythm Sir Alex’s Ferguson’s side has shown in their past three games (Community Shield included) makes them hard favourites to beat any team that is not Barcelona. And Wayne Rooney looks back to somewhere near his best so far this term. A man who has scored two in two games, three in his last five appearances against Arsenal, and obviously the quality striker leading the United attack is hard to ignore for first goalscorer too. The signs all read Manchester United this Sunday.
Highlighted bets:
Over/Under: Over 2.5 Goals – 1.8 Bet365
First Goalscorer: Wayne Rooney – 5.75 Victor Chandler
Correct Score: 3-1 Manchester United – 15.00 Paddy Power
Tottenham v Manchester City odds
Tottenham Form: WL 2.88 – Bet365
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Betfair Celebration Mile betting
Betfair Celebration Mile betting and odds
Goodwood returns to our TV screens on Saturday with the Betfair Celebration Mile the undisputed highlight, writes Mikey Mumford. The Group 2 event features British and Irish 2000 Guineas runner-up Dubawi Gold and last year’s winner Poet’s Voice. A tight knit field of seven runners, four of whom boast course and distance winning form, will head to post for a share of the £100,000 purse.
Goodwood Celebration Mile odds
Beacon Lodge: Yet to back up his reappearance win at Haydock this year but he has put in a series of good placed efforts for trainer Clive Cox. He finished best of those behind the useful Excelebration in the Hungerford a fortnight ago and must have a chance on that evidence. Unlikely to meet another rival as good as him, and has won over a mile albeit not at this track, each-way hopeful.
Emerald Commander: Absent for the whole of the 2010 campaign but made amends with a comeback victory in a listed event at Pontefract in July. That was a three-runner affair though over 1m4f but he did beat the progressive St Moritz and must have a chance dropped back to a mile. From the Godolphin yard, he was mightily disappointing at Salisbury latest and needs to bounce back.
Poet’s Voice: Without a run on British soil so far this year but was second to Wigmore Hall at Meydan in March. He ended 2010 with a poor run at Newmarket over 1m2f but prior to that had racked up consecutive successes including over this course and distance. Has won on both soft and firm ground but wouldn’t want too much rain, shortlisted.
Premio Loco: Consistent performer who hasn’t had it all his own way in his three runs so far this year. He failed to make an impression in all those outings over a mile despite his liking for good to firm ground. Out of sorts at the moment but wouldn’t rule out an improved performance here.
Riggins Useful: on the all-weather at the back end of 2010 but failed to transfer that form onto turf this campaign. Tried at 1m2f at Ascot three runs back but never got going and drop to a mile didn’t help next time at Goodwood. Did not get a clear run 2f out at York last time but was already well beaten and unsure about his best trip, best watched.
Set The Trend: Another previous course and distance winner here in May making all to defy odds of 10/1. He probably needed the run at Doncaster on his reappearance but his Goodwood win should have boosted confidence and Andrew Balding’s runner can well again at the track he seems to have a liking for. Will want the ground no softer than good though and sniff of a chance should he get conditions.
Dubawi Gold: Came up against some useful types the last twice in Excelebration and Frankel prior to his seconds in the British and Irish 2000 Guineas. Dropped back to 7f by Richard Hannon last time and never really got competitive and will appreciate step up to a mile. He represents the stables main hope after Strong Suit was withdrawn because of softening conditions on Thursday.
Strong Suit’s withdrawal has took a little gloss of the race but still a competitive renewal nonetheless. Poet’s Voice comes here on the back of a Meydan second in March and should be thereabouts although the lack of a recent run might prove his undoing. Set The Trend is interesting after his latest course and distance win but DUBAWI GOLD should have a race like this in him and can bounce back from a disappointing Hungerford for connections. [Mikey Mumford]
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Tottenham v Manchester City betting
Tottenham v Manchester City betting preview 28/08/2011
The big game this Sunday lunchtime sees Tottenham taking on Manchester City in a bid to win their first points of the new season. Man City though, will be looking to continue their 100% start to the campaign and will be aiming for their first league win at White Hart Lane since 2003. Samir Nasri could make his first appearance for City against his former clubs North London rivals and will give manager Roberto Mancini extra flair in midfield.
Tottenham v Manchester City odds
Tottenham Form: WL 2.88 – Bet365
Tottenham go into Sunday’s clash against Man City slight outsiders and best priced at 2.88 with Bet365. The corresponding game last season ended in a 0-0 draw and this match could well be another tight affair. However, the more attacking approach seen by Roberto Mancini so far this season could work in Spurs favour if they can contain the Citizen’s powerful front line. Tottenham started well last time out against Man United, but a poor second half cost them and they eventually fell to a disappointing 3-0 defeat. Rafael Van Der Vaart was Spurs top league goal scorer last season, and as the Dutch midfielder takes penalties, he looks a good bet at 3.25 with Stan James to score at any time. Spurs home games last season yielded 49 goals, an average of 2.5 a game. Looking at this then, bets of both teams to score first half and over 2.5 goals are looking good, with odds of 4.0 from Skybet and 1.8 from Stan James respectively.
Manchester City Form: WW 2.5 – Skybet
Man City sit top of the table after two games and are the early pace setters in the division. Their big spending has continued as they look to build upon their third placed finish last year, and it must be said they have bought some real quality this summer. More good news for Man City fans is that Roberto Mancini appears to have let his side off their leash this season, as they have scored an impressive 7 goals in their first 2 games. This has left them a little more exposed at the back, as was seen in the game at Bolton last weekend, but they still look good for a title challenge. Taking all of this into account, a 3-1 away win for Man City is looking great value at 21.0 with Betfred. Sergio Aguero has also started well for his new club and is striking up a good partnership with Edin Dzeko, which leaves him a good bet at 6.5 with Bet365 to open the scoring.
Highlighted bets
Man City 3-1 WIN – 21.0 Betfred
Sergio Aguero first goal scorer – 6.5 Bet365
Van Der Vaart anytime scorer – 3.25 Stan James
Tottenham WIN – 2.88 Bet365
Over 2.5 Goals – 1.8 Stan James
Both teams score 1st Half – 4.0 Skybet
By Sam Markham
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Man Utd vs Spurs betting
Man Utd vs Spurs betting preview 22/08/2011
Manchester United take on Tottenham in the first Monday night live clash of the season. Man United got off to a good start last Sunday against West Brom, with a 2-1 win, but Tottenham’s game with Everton was called off due to the incidents in North London. This fixture last season ended in a 2-0 win for the home side, but there was also a rather controversial second goal, involving winger Nani and goalkeeper Heurelho Gomes. A repeat of that score line may not be a bad bet, as Spurs have not won any of their last 19 visits to Old Trafford.
Man Utd vs Spurs odds
Man United Form: WW 1.67 – Bet365
Manchester United have had a good start to the season, with a charity shield win over local rivals Man City and a solid win over West Brom last week. The victory last Sunday wasn’t spectacular, with another moment to forget for new goalkeeper David De Gea, but as they did last season, they ground out a result. Injuries to centre backs Rio Ferdinand and Nemanja Vidic were concerning for the champions, with Ferdinand set to miss several weeks but Vidic should be back sooner. Both players are set to miss the game on Monday, which will mean summer signing Phil Jones will partner Chris Smalling, in what may be an inexperienced partnership that Spurs could target. Another summer signing Ashley Young was very impressive last weekend, and could well be a good bet at 8.5 with Paddy Power to open the scoring. Tottenham don’t have a particularly good record at Old Trafford, not getting anything from their last 8 visits, which is why a 3-1 home win is looking good at 13.0 with Skybet.
Tottenham Form: W 6.0 – Stan James
Unfortunately for Tottenham, their home game last weekend with Everton was called off, so this will be their first league game of the season. Spurs did though, play in a Europa League play off on Thursday night against Hearts, and ended up coming away with a 5-0 victory. Rafael Van Der Vaart had a superb game again, following on from last season, scoring and creating freely. With this in mind, the attacking midfielder is looking a good bet 4.0 with Skybet to score at any time on Monday night. Luka Modric should come back into the side on Sunday, which is good news for Tottenham fans after what has been a relatively slow summer in terms of transfers. However, Harry Redknapp does have a fully fit squad to choose from, and if they can keep tight at the back, then they will be a real handful on the break for Man United’s young back four.
Highlighted Bets
3-1 Home Win – 13.0 Skybet
Ashley Young first scorer – 8.5 Paddy Power
Van Der Vaart anytime scorer – 4.0 Skybet
Tottenham WIN – 6.0 Stan James
Over 3.5 goals – 3.0 William Hill
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Sunderland vs Newcastle betting
Sunderland vs Newcastle betting preview 19/08/2011
Arsenal and Liverpool may have both started the season with draws but after a week of turbulence on and off the pitch, only one of these clubs will go into this clash with heads held high.
Sunderland vs Newcastle odds
Sunderland: League Position: 5th, League Form: D
Sunderland have had a busy summer as Steve Bruce strives to replace Harry Redknapp as the Premier League’s top wheeler dealer. Ten new signings have come into the side, freshening up a squad that went stale after Darren Bent left in the January transfer window, and the Black Cats won only one of their final nine home games of last season.
Only two of those new signings started their fantastic away draw against Liverpool, goalscorer Seb Larsson and experienced defender Wes Brown, both impressing (with David Vaughan and Dong Win Ji appearing from the bench). Having been overwhelmed by Liverpool in the first half, Bruce’s side recovered to defend strongly and outplay their opposition, and can be pleased with both performance and point.
Playing a 4-4-1-1 formation, with Sessegnon supporting lone man Gyan, it will be interesting to see whether Bruce will try a more attacking system at home, against a weaker side than Liverpool and in a game full of crowd anticipation. Relatively unknown Dong Win Ji and £13 million Conor Wickham are their other striking options, but it seems more likely Bruce will prefer numbers in midfield to make sure his side can maintain structure and control in the middle of the park.
Newcastle: League Position: 9th, League Form: D
The rollercoaster tale of Newcastle United continues to wind on and on. After losing club captain Kevin Nolan to relegated West Ham in the summer, Joey Barton was then declared free to leave the club for no fee. Even a fantastic, gritty draw at home to Arsenal was overshadowed by the behaviour of Joey Barton, stamped on by Alex Song, then involved in a fracas with Gervinho, grabbing the Arsenal player before collapsing to the floor after weak contact was made to his face.
Looking at the footballing performance, Newcastle were solid without being spectacular, not really threatening the Arsenal goal but also coping with all the attacking heavyweights threw at them brilliantly. Steven Taylor was notably much improved in this game from his performances last season, much happier now he seems wanted again by the club. The resilience of the side may have surprised some, but Newcastle are nothing if not inconsistent.
Five new signings, all with French as their first language, have been brought in, only two with Premier League experience. Cabaye and Marveaux in midfield are interesting prospects if they settle into English football, but Demba Ba could be the star signing, a forward to replace Andy Carroll. Seven goals in 12 games at relegated West Ham, Ba has come in for no fee and can build on his half a season with the Hammers and be a real threat for Newcastle.
Match Prediction: DRAW 3.4 – Blue Square
The history of this fixture shows goals are forthcoming. The two clubs have not played out a goalless draw since the Premier League began, with the fixture averaging 2.8 goals per match, 50 goals coming from the 18 games. Sunderland have only won once in the last 13 games, back in 2008, and the atmosphere will, as ever, be at a fervent height.
Looking at their opening matches, both teams came out looking strong in defence, with Wes Brown and Steven Taylor standing out for Sunderland and Newcastle respectively. The weight of expectancy will now be on Asamoah Gyan and Demba Ba to get their goalscoring campaigns off to a start. However, a man unpopular and unheralded everywhere except Newcastle has netted six times in 10 games against Sunderland, including four in his last four Tyne/Wear derby appearances, and that man is Shola Ameobi. The Geordie stalwart, who started last weekend, seems a value punt at 9.00 for the first goal.
Sunderland, with their poor record, may be more concerned with not losing and could set up to be solid in midfield and prevent Newcastle controlling the play. But these games open up, played at the frantic pace all fierce English derbies are, and expect both teams to score. Sunderland have failed to keep a clean sheet in any of their last 22 meetings with Newcastle, yet Newcastle have won just one of their last nine away Premier League matches.
Highlighted Bets:
Over/Under: Over 2.5 Goals – 2.2 Boylesports
First Goalscorer: Shola Ameobi – 9.00 Sporting Bet
Correct Score: 2-2 Draw – 17.00 William Hill
Score Draw: Yes – 4.33 Coral
Both teams to score: Yes – 1.91 Sky Bet
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Tote Ebor betting
Ebor betting and odds
The most valuable flat handicap in Europe, the Betfred Ebor concludes four excellent days of racing on the Knavesmire as York race-goers say goodbye to the Ebor festival for another year, writes Mikey Mumford. The race over 1m6f sees twenty runners gunning for the top prize of £130,000 with several vying for favouritism. Tactician runs for Her Majesty the Queen but Godolphin’s Lost In The Moment looks like going off market leader with the ever popular Frankie Dettori aboard.
York Ebor odds
Fox Hunt – Never quite going the pace to challenge at Goodwood last time but finished a close fourth on good to firm ground. That was over 2 miles but has shown his liking for 1m6f here at York running Tactician close in the John Smith’s Silver Cup. Silvestre De Sousa is banging in the winners this campaign and has a better chance than some here; each-way claims.
Lost In The Moment – A series of second place finishes have not earned this horse the plaudits he deserves. Lost out to stablemate Opinion Poll at Goodwood last time after making rapid late headway and has put in some likeable efforts over 1m2f. He stays this trip fine and expecting a big run for top connections.
Saptapadi Had excuses the last twice when not getting a clear run here at York over 1m2f. Yet to win over this trip but gives the impression he will appreciate this middle distance and granted some luck in running he could make the frame. Brian Ellison’s stable are in decent form and no surprise to him go close.
Tactician – A game win over course and distance latest gives Her Majesty The Queen and Michael Bell an excellent chance here. Had the beating of a couple of those he will face here and goes well on good ground which he is likely to get. Everything looks in place for a good run under young jockey Joseph O’Brien.
Mount Athos – Despite winning a fairly ordinary 60-100 Handicap at Dundalk on his reappearance this year he’s struggled upped in grade and class. A course and distance winner in 2010 though, he may appreciate the return to this track and possibilities if it he can rediscover his old form.
Harlestone Times Disappointing the last twice when not going the pace to threaten in the Northumberland Plate on his penultimate start. Has to reverse that form with a lot of these rivals and would appreciate a little bit of rain if he is going to challenge. He is a top performer on his day but hard to have confidence after being brushed aside easily in big field handicaps before.
Modun – Classy 4yo who was unlucky to Goodwood last time when he just got going a little too late to reach eventual winner here at York. Won on his return this year at Newbury on good to firm but yet to race beyond 1m4f but expect him to appreciate the extra distance and expected to be in the mix for Richard Hughes and Sir Michael Stoute.
Blissful Moment – Couple of seconds this year at Ascot behind Fox Hunt last time who he’ll meet here were not all that bad. Lightly raced sort who likes to be up with the pace but yet to be tried beyond 1m4f and would have reservations about him staying; should give a good account nevertheless.
Another big handicap and plenty in with chances but it would be no surprise to see Modun impress over slightly further but he has a tendency to get going a little late. Saptapadi should be thereabouts granted a bit of luck in running but the vote goes to Lost In The Moment who caught the eye over 2 miles at Goodwood last time. [Mikey Mumford]
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Arsenal vs Liverpool betting preview
Arsenal vs Liverpool betting preview 19/08/2011
Arsenal and Liverpool may have both started the season with draws but after a week of turbulence on and off the pitch, only one of these clubs will go into this clash with heads held high.
Arsenal vs Liverpool odds
Arsenal League Form: D League Position: 9th
Arsenal will be without new signing Gervinho and defensive midfielder Alex Song who have both been handed 3 match bans. It is expected that Andrei Arshavin and Emanuel Frimpong will plug the holes they leave in the squad, while Gervinho’s presence will surely be missed after his industrious performance against Udinese, it is the gap left by Song’s suspension that could prove decisive. His job of screening the back four and breaking up opposing play may mean that Arsenal concede their first goal of the season bet on Liverpool being the scoring side at odds of 4.5 on Bet365.
Liverpool League Form: D League Position: 5th
Liverpool’s 1-1 draw against Sunderland can be looked at as a disappointment by the Anfield faithful after their impressive first half showing, Luis Suarez looked particularly lively. With his lively showings and 4 goals last season, plus his goal last week against the Black Cats he will for sure be one to watch against a shaky Arsenal backline, and at odds of 8.0 on Victor Chandler to score first he could prove a good bet.
Liverpool looked defensively solid last week with Caragher, Flanagan, Agger and new boy Enrique looking solid. Only a wonder goal from Sebastian Larsson could break them down, so why not have a punt on Daglishes boys keeping a clean sheet against an Arsenal attacking line far from its strongest at odds of 3.7 on Coral.
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West Brom vs Man Utd betting preview
West Brom vs Man Utd betting preview 13/08/2011
West Brom
The new season arrives with a reasonable amount of optimism at the West Midlands club, and without ridiculous expectations. Roy Hodgson comfortably kept the Baggies up last season, and much of the same will be more than enough to keep fans and owners happy. Roy’s defensively structured counter attacking football made the side much more stable than Di Matteo’s side, and kept them from falling out of the division.
A relatively quiet transfer window has been made successful with the acquisition of Shane Long. Peter Odemwingie was far too pressurised to score West Brom’s goals last season, and the hard working Irishman Long, original favourite for the Championship Top Goalscorer whilst at Reading only last week, will definitely pose a threat to all class of defence. Otherwise, they have upgraded goalkeeper with Ben Foster coming in and Scott Carson leaving, alongside Zoltan Gera, Billy Jones and Gareth McAuley.
For those who put credence into pre-season form, West Brom won two, lost two and drew three this summer. In terms of starting line up, it’s difficult to see Roy playing 4-4-2 against big teams like United, so expect one striker and a team happy for a draw.
West Brom vs Man Utd odds
Man Utd
With title number 19 secured, Sir Alex Ferguson wasted no time in making a statement of intent in the transfer market. Ashley Young, Phil Jones and David De Gea were brought in for of a combined fee of around £50m. If last week’s Community Shield was anything to go by, the outfield talent has completely settled in and is looking sharper and easier on the eye than last season’s championship side. David De Gea looked shaky, but is known as a ‘keeper full of confidence, ability and even more potential.
Including the Community Shield United have won all seven pre-season games, including Barcelona, and must be on a high already. Their squad has grown even with the retirement of Scholes and Van Der Sar, and the sales of Brown and O’Shea. Tom Cleverley and Danny Welbeck have returned from loan spells, having grown into fully capable first team Premiership players, both included in the latest England squads too.
Without Javier Hernandez, concussed badly on tour last month, United played Danny Welbeck up front with Rooney on Sunday, but the team have many options. Young, Giggs and Nani can all play in behind him, whilst Berbatov, Owen and Welbeck can play ahead of Rooney.
Match Prediction – Manchester United WIN
Last week’s match against Manchester City showed Manchester United to be in the kind of mood you do not want to see when they are your next opponents. The hunger is there for a 20th title, and that hunger, which drove them last season when form escaped them, looks to be matched with a fluid attacking style the defensively stern City could not handle.
Can West Brom put an early puncture into their title charge? They certainly bothered United last season, harshly losing the home fixture 2-1 after poor refereeing decisions and were the only away team to take a point at Old Trafford.
Otherwise, much must be assumed from the strength of inviduals, last season and new signings. On this front it’s hard to look past Manchester United. Their fantastic Community Shield win, lead by the inspiration Nani, is hard to ignore, and a United win seems certain.
Highlighted Bets:-
Over/Under: Over 2.5 Goals – 1.73 Bet365
First Goalscorer: Nani – 9.5 Victor Chandler
Correct Score: 3-1 Manchester United Win – 13.00 Sky Bet
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Newbury Hungerford Stakes betting
CGA Hungerford Stakes betting and odds
Four previous course and distance winners will line up in the field of twelve runners for Saturday’s feature race at Newbury – the CGA Hungerford Stakes, writes Mikey Mumford. A straight seven furlongs is the trip for this Group 2 event where British and Irish 2000 Guineas runner-up Dubawi Gold currently clings on to favouritism. Marco Botti’s Excelebration, winner of the German 2000 Guineas and Aussie Sprinter Musir rate the main dangers for a share of the £100,000 prize money.
Newbury Hungerford Stakes odds
Delegator: Made little or no impression in his last two runs albeit in stronger company than he will face today. Godolphin’s representative was last of nine in the Lennox Stakes at Glorious Goodwood last time; held by many of the rivals he will face here. Undoubtedly has the class he showed in the Duke of York on his reappearance run this year and should do better eased slightly in grade.
Balthaazar’s Gift: Since winning this in 2009 he’s won only once which came at the back end of last year at Doncaster. Been handed some tough tests and was probably punching above his weight the last twice but connections like to aim for this race and he could surprise a few. Gets on with the ground and the distance and will appreciate the drop in grade; could get competitive.
Beacon Lodge: Won on his reappearance this year over 7f at Haydock in May but struggled at the dame course next time where he was well held by The Cheka. Ran a couple of crackers in defeat the last twice though, reversing that form with The Cheka on his penultimate run to finish third and another placed effort at Goodwood left a lot to be desired. Has the ability and would be a surprise if he couldn’t get in the top three here; tends to run on well.
Doncaster Rover Largely consistent sort who was just held by Genki three runs back and stayed on the last twice without being able to challenge for trainer David Brown. Yet to win over 7f but has won over slightly shorter and should give his usual sound running but nagging doubts he may well be vulnerable to an improver.
Musir: Having his first run on British soil but this Aussie sprinter was a decent second behind the useful Twice Over in Meydan in March. Mike De Cock’s runner has been off the track since March and worryingly he has been the beaten favourite on his last two runs but strong chances if taking to Newbury and the straight 7f.
The Cheka: He was rather poor when beaten at 4/5 at the Curragh latest finding no extra 1f out. That was on ground described as yielding though and showed he was much a better horse at Haydock on good to firm in May. Eve Johnson Houghton’s yard are in fair form and would be no surprise to see him bounce back to form in this company.
Dever Dream: A couple of seconds at Goodwood and York were improvements on this filly’s Windsor Forest tenth earlier this year. She’s done most of her winning on good and on good to firm so would want the rain to hold out. William Haggas’ runner has won over this trip albeit in weaker company but can make her presence felt today.
Excelebration: The nature of his four length defeat to Frankel in the Greenham in April was franked with his superb win in the German 2000 Guineas. Was a fair third in the St James’ Palace at Ascot stepped up to a mile but has won over 6f and can’t see the extra furlong inconveniencing him here. Marco Botti’s challenger should go very well and has serious claims here.
Dubawi Gold: Started 2011 with a couple if wins on the all-weather for Richard Hannon before a staying-on second in the 2000 Guineas behind runaway winner Frankel. He had to settle for second best in the Irish 2000 Guineas next time despite being sent off market leader under Richard Hughes and made no impression in the St James’ Palace at Royal Ascot weakening into sixth. He’s a lot better than that form suggests though and should be thereabouts under a patient Hughes ride.
A real competitive renewal where it is proving hard to separate those at the head of the market; Delegator can put a couple of disappointing efforts behind him and go well here for Frankie. Similarly, The Cheka is better than her odds on defeat last time but it could be a toss-up between Dubawi Gold and EXCELEBRATION who have both run good races behind wonderhorse Frankel in the past. Slight preference is for Marco Botti’s runner after his excellent German 2000 Guineas victory. [Mikey Mumford]
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