Arguably one of the most wide open contest across all of the four days where Buena Vista for the David Pipe team will bid to make it a hat-trick of wins in this handicap hurdle race. The eleven-year-old form has been rather patchy since last March and for that reason stablemate Our Father and Sivola De Sivola feature ahead of him in the ante-post markets.
Qualifiers
Jonjo O’Neill has an excellent record in this handicap claiming three wins, although the last of those was almost seven years ago with Creon. But any horse he sends out will no doubt come in for some cash, particularly if it has negotiated its passage to this final with ease. The eight qualifiers are the obvious place to start when analysing the form of these runners and those who breeze past these stages need to be taken very seriously indeed. One of those qualifying races is staged at Cheltenham monitor those who act on this course and distance.
Big price winners
Two 50/1 shots have been first home in more recent years, one of those was Creon for Jonjo O’Neill in 2004 and the other Kaldoun in 2006 for the Michael O’Brien yard. This just goes to show the greatest underdog can do well in the Pertemps Final Handicap and the form book of the previous qualifiers can sometimes go out the window. For this reason, one should consider all avenues even those with the most unlikely odds because Handicaps can be so unpredictable. Twelve months ago Hadden Frost was first home aboard Buena Vista for David Pipe. And 16/1 was a very generous price considering the 9yo gelding only failed by two lengths to Kayf Aramis the year before.
If you’re a favourite backer look away now because only one favourite has won this in the last decade. Inch Closer justified his price in 2003 but since market leaders have come unstuck so it may be best to look elsewhere once more. Value in handicaps must be sought after when time and time again we see big priced outsiders upset the odds. A thorough market inspection is needed before tackling this race from a betting perspective and any significant signals could speak volumes. There is likely to big gambles on the Irish representatives as there is most years so check on those market movers.
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