2000 Guineas betting and odds
2000 Guineas betting preview
Newmarket awaits the Qipco 2,000 Guineas on Saturday where red-hot favourite Frankel is the horse everybody wants to be on. Henry Cecil’s 3-year-old was said to have needed the run in the Greenham Stakes at Newbury a fortnight ago but still breezed by the opposition that day. He is set to face a field of 13 runners after the withdrawals of Dubai Prince and Dream Ahead last week. Punters though might be swayed to delve into the betting market ‘without Frankel’ as Paddy Power are currently offers the best odds at 4/7. The Khalid Abdulla owned colt will be the shortest priced favourite for the event since 1971 as he bids to land the spoils in the first of five British classics to be run this year.
2000 Guineas latest odds
Tom Queally takes the ride on Frankel and he could well take this race from the front. In the Greenham Stakes last time, it was clear his stablemate Picture Editor could not go hard enough for Frankel and Queally may have to adopt similar tactics here and force the issue. If he is to lose his unbeaten tag at the sixth time of asking, next in the betting is another unbeaten runner- Jessica Harrington’s Pathfork at 5/1. This American-bred colt has won on his first three starts at the Curragh in Ireland and just held off Casamento last time out. Pathfork is unraced beyond seven furlongs but connections seem to think he will be competitive on the Rowley Mile at Newmarket.
Roderic O’Connor comes next in the market Aidan O’Brien at around the 7/1 mark. He finished two-and-quarter lengths behind Frankel in the Dewhurst Stakes at Newmarket last October and had stablemate Master of Hounds behind in a valuable race at the Curragh on his penultimate start. Ryan Moore replaces Johnny Murtagh in the saddle and the slight step up in trip should suit this horse and should be taken seriously at 4/1 in the ‘without Frankel’ market. Godolphin’s main hope this year l;ies with the aforementioned Casamento – the winner of the Racing Post trophy at Doncaster on his last run for trainer Michael Halford. However, Sheikh Mohammed has voiced his concern at the trip and thinks a mile and half will suit but he tackles the 2000 Guineas instead of tilting towards an assault in the Derby. Frankie Dettori will be in the saddle once more and he had Native Khan and Dubawi Gold trailing in his wake last time so a big run can be expected of the 13/2 shot.
Few will want to miss the first ‘Classic’ of 2011 but Kieren Fallon might be one of those select couple that will not be tuning in too embrace the action after missing his ride on Native Khan. Fallon picked up a ban for not riding out to the winning line and after having his suspension shortened on appeal, the Newmarket meeting came too soon for the former champion Jockey. Instead Olivier Peslier will do the steering on the Ed Dunlop trained Native Khan; who is interesting in the sense that he won over course and distance just over a fortnight ago. The grey held off Richard Hannon’s Libranno to claim victory in the Craven Stakes and had a successful campaign as 2-year-old last year. The only worry would be that Casamento had his measure at Doncaster.
William Haggas’ runner Fury is a 6/1 shot and is unbeaten on his two career starts. He steps up to a mile on Saturday and Johnny Murtagh’s mount could spring a surprise should he get the trip.
Of the other runners at a big price, Dubawi Gold (33/1) is a useful type and has won both starts back this term on the polytrack but Richard Hannon’s colt steps up markedly in class. Rerouted (66/1) for the Barry Hills yard will don the same colours as Frankel and finished a creditable second behind Pausanias in a listed event last time. He could be one to take the field along at a good early clip and act as a pacemaker for Frankel’s surge.
By Mikey Mumford
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