Manchester City go into this game with Chelsea 4 points behind their local rivals, and knowing anything but 3 points will be a psychological blow. Roberto Mancini’s men are having a slight wobble in recent weeks, after losing away to Swansea, they also crashed out of the Europa League last week. Away from home City have been struggling, with just 7 wins from 14, but at home they have been formidable, winning every single one of their games this season. This is why the Citizens are firm favourites going into the game, and are best priced at 1.95 with Paddy Power. They have also scored an average of 3 goals per game at home this season, meaning a 3-1 home win is looking good with odds of 15.0 available from Skybet. Carlos Tevez could return to the squad for this game, but he will still be relatively rusty if he does. So betting on Sergio Aguero to score at any time during the game is looking more sensible, with odds of 6.0 available from William Hill.
Chelsea
Chelsea have made a steady improvement since the departure of former boss Andre Villas-Boas. Roberto Di Mateo has guided his team to 3 important wins, none more so than the one at home against Napoli. This will certainly be his strongest test though, as Man City are desperate to get back to winning ways. Chelsea had been attempting to keep it fairly tight at the back in recent away games, but that has meant they’ve only managed 1 goal in their last 4 away matches. This could change under Di Mateo though, and the Blues have scored 12 in 4 matches since Villas-Boas was sacked. Fernando Torres got on the score sheet on Sunday after 25 hours of football without a goal, and the Spaniard is looking good at 4.0 with Stan James to score at any time on Wednesday.
Match Prediction
Despite Chelsea’s recent upturn in form, they have still looked rather shaky at the back, as is highlighted by Leicester’s 2 late goals on Sunday. Man City’s incredible home form also means they should have enough to win the game. Like Chelsea though, City haven’t been great in defence recently, conceding 4 in 3 games, so Chelsea can definitely get on the score sheet. With this in mind a 3-1 home win is looking the most likely result. Manchester City have also scored nearly twice as many goals in the second half of games this season, so betting on a half time/full time of draw/man city is also looking good with odds of 5.0 available from Paddy Power.
Man City 3-1 WIN – 15.0 Skybet
Aguero first goal scorer – 6.0 William Hill
Torres anytime scorer – 4.0 Stan James
HT/FT of Draw/Man City – 5.0 Paddy Power
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