Swansea vs Chelsea Capital One Cup betting preview

Swansea will have the chance to win their first cup competition since 2006 if they hold onto a 2-0 advantage on Wednesday night against Chelsea. Following a surprise 2-0 victory at Stamford Bridge two weeks ago in the first leg, Swansea could secure a place in the League Cup final for the first time in their history even if they lose on Wednesday night. Chelsea will need to score three times to win in normal time if they wish to make it to their seventh League Cup title. The Blues last won the competition in 2007 when they beat Arsenal 2-1 at the Millennium Stadium. Choose a free bet for this match here. 

Swansea’s League Cup Results:

Semi-Final (1^st Leg): Chelsea 0-2 Swansea (Michu, Graham)
Quarter-Final: Swansea 1-0 Middlesbrough (Hines (og))
Fourth Round: Liverpool 1-3 Swansea (Chico, Dyer, de Guzman)
Third Round: Crawley Town 2-3 Swansea (Michu, Graham, Monk)
Second Round: Swansea 3-1 Barnsley (Graham, Moore (x2))

Swansea head into the second leg full of confidence, having not even needed extra time in the tournament so far to progress to the semi-finals. They also sit in 9^th in the league, just one point behind Arsenal, Liverpool and West Brom, all chasing Everton for the first of the European spots.

The Swans lost their first game since the middle of December against Arsenal last week in the FA Cup but were quick to get back on track, beating Stoke 3-1 at The Liberty Stadium on Saturday. In the last 11 games Swansea have conceded just 9 goals proving they have one of the best defences in the country.

As well as a strong defence they have created a lethal attack force, with five or more goals from Wayne Routledge (5), Jonathan de Guzman (6), Danny Graham (7) and super star striker Michu (16). Graham in particular has been lethal in the cup this season, scoring four goals, three of those in the Capital One Cup. Sky Bet, William Hill and Blue Square have Graham to score anytime at 11/4.

Chelsea’s League Cup Results:

Semi-Final (1^st Leg): Chelsea 0-2 Swansea
Quarter-Final: Leeds United 1-5 Chelsea (Mata, Ivanovic, Moses, Hazard, Torres)
Fourth Round: Chelsea e5-4 Manchester United (Luiz (x2), Cahill, Hazard (pen), Sturridge, Ramires)
Third Round: Chelsea 6-0 Wolves (Cahill, Bertrand, Mata, Romeu (pen), Torres, Moses)

Some pressure has been taken off Chelsea after their 2-1 win over Arsenal at the weekend but the fans will be hungry for silverware in a season full of disappointment so far. In order for Chelsea to qualify they will need to score three goals or take it to penalties at 2-0.

In Chelsea’s last three games they have had five out of eight goals scored by midfielders and a total of 48 goals scored by them throughout the season. That means around 55% of their goals have come from the likes of Juan Mata, Eden Hazard, Frank Lampard and Oscar. Mata and Lampard are 5/2 to score with Ladbrokes, Hazard 3/1 with Ladbrokes and Oscar 7/2 with Sky Bet and William Hill.

Betting Preview:

Chelsea haven’t beaten Swansea in their last three meetings, losing once and drawing 1-1 on two occasions, and have in fact only won twice when playing in Swansea throughout the club’s history. Swansea have only lost two games at home all season from 15 games. The draw is best priced at 14/5 with Bet365 and a Swansea win is 3/1 with Bet365, Bet Victor, Boyle Sports and William Hill.

The first leg result was the first time in six games between the sides that one of the teams hasn’t scored, dating back to April 1981. With Chelsea needing to press for the win on Wednesday goals are to be expected. Many bookies, including Betfred and Paddy Power, have both teams to score priced at 8/13.

In all of Swansea’s League Cup games this season there have been less than four yellow cards, and excluding the game against Man United which saw 9 yellows, Chelsea have played two games with less than four yellows themselves. Under 3.5 yellows is 7/10 with Bet365.

Although Swansea have a great home record they will be put under immense pressure from the Chelsea midfield and attack which boasts some of the best players in the Premier League. However, the Swansea team and support will be hungry for the chance to win the trophy for the first time ever. Chelsea to win by one goal is best priced at 16/5 with Paddy Power.

Prediction: Swansea 1-2 Chelsea – Best Priced at 8/1 with Paddy Power.

Enjoy a £10 free bet with Stan James – simply open an account and bet £10 and Stan James will give you a free £10 bet! Click here to get this offer.

Article by Jack Teague

*Click here for all the latest odds on upcoming football matches