Birmingham League Position: 15th League Form: DLDLW
Birmingham’s season has been one characterized by unpredictability. Their home form was the rock they built their great season upon last year however they haven’t been able to repeat it this year. Their better results though have been at St Andrews this season, a feat they will definitely want to repeat against local and relegation rivals Villa. David Bentley’s arrival at St Andrews is an interesting one also, when Bentley arrived at Spurs before people were making comparisons to David Beckham, but as his form dropped he dropped down the pecking order behind Niko Kracjar and Aaron Lennon. David Bentley’s possible debut though means that he has very good odds of 15.0 on SkyBet and Bet365.
Defender Liam Ridgewell has also been in good scoring form this season and has odds of 10.0 to score anytime on Bet 365. The last time these two sides met as well it was a 0-0 draw with both sides cancelling each other out quite nicely however this game along with the rivalry has a lot more riding on it.
Aston Villa League Position: 18th League Form: WLLDL
Villa are having a nightmare season, after Martin O’ Neill left and Gerrard Houlier was appointed Villa fans thought that under the Frenchman’s helm they would be OK. This has been far from the reality, Villa are now languishing in the relegation zone and this tie that last year was a battle for midland supremacy now is a relegation scrap. Emile Heskey’s form under his old boss has been better though and his return to fitness can only be a good thing for Houlier, he is priced at 3.5 on Bet365 to score at any time.
Villa however are still relying on a young squad and one that is lacking in experience at this level, while names like Albrighton and Lilacj have performed well, they still are finding it hard to adapt to life in the Premier league. This derby is sure to bring with it a number of heated exchanges and with that a good few cards, so a bet on there to be a sending off in this game with odds of 3.3 on Extrabet could be a good investment. With both teams rather lacking in form it is definitely a difficult one to call, however in the last few games Villa have looked truly dreadful and things look like they could only get worse for the Villains, so a Birmingham win looks likely.
Highlighted Bets
First Goalscorer David Bentley 15.0 SkyBet
Anytime Goalscorer Liam Ridgewell 10.0 Bet365
Anytime Goalscorer Emile Heskey 3.5 Bet365
Outright Birmingham 2.5 William Hill
By John Fernandez
Aston Villa Form: WDLLLW League Position: 15th
Aston Villa recovered from three straight defeats last time out in the Premier League to record only their fifth league win of the season. While Villa will need to start finding some consistency under Gerard Houllier if they are to steer themselves away from the Premier League relegation zone, as they currently stand only 4 points above it. Even after losing only once at home this season, the Villans go into this tie under dogs and a good price for an upset at 9/4 with Victor Chandler. Gabriel Agbonlahor is yet to get off the mark this season after suffering with various injury complaints, but the young striker is a great price at 7/1 with Bet365 to open the scoring. Attacking midfielder Ashley Young is hoping to be fit for the visit of Spurs on Boxing Day after knee ligament damage, but the clash should come too soon for Stiliyan Petrov and Fabian Delph, with Luke Young and Steve Sidwell still missing out.
Tottenham Form: DWWWDD League Position: 5th
Tottenham will be looking to keep in the running for the Champions League places at the very least when they travel to Villa on Saturday after two draws against Birmingham and Chelsea. Although Spurs still haven’t kept a clean sheet in the league since the opening day, their games have produced goals, with 13 of their games in all competitions this season producing 4 or more. Gareth Bale has been in great form this term scoring 5 goals in the league and the Welshman is most definitely the danger man. With that in mind, Coral are offering really good odds of 3/1 for the Winger to provide an assist at any point during the match. Although top scorer Rafael Van Der Vaart will still miss the clash through injury, as will Tom Huddleston, Jermaine Jenas, Ledley King and Jamie O’Hara.
Match Prediction: Tottenham WIN best priced at 7/5 Stan James
Tottenham will be looking to keep their title hopes alive on Boxing Day when they take on a Villa side struggling to find some consistency. Despite Villa being as low as 15th they are only 7 points behind the visitors Spurs, and a victory on Saturday could be a big boost for Gerard Houllier. However Redknapp’s men have produced some good performances this season and should go on to get the victory. A 2-1 away win should bring a good return with odds of 9/1 being offered at Sky Bet.
Highlighted Bets
Gareth Bale to provide an assist – 3/1 Coral
2-1 Tottenham Win – 9/1 Sky Bet
Gabriel Agbonlahor to score first – 7/1 Bet 365
By Sam Markham
Aston Villa: League Position: 16th, League Form: DWLLD
A turbulent season will come to an end without success whatever happens from here on for Villa, but from years of competing for places in Europe they now find themselves fighting relegation. The serious prospect of going down will force a reaction from Gerard Houllier’s side, and their fate may be decided by whether it’s positive or negative. They’re only two points above next week’s opposition West Ham, who are in 18th, and are in desperate need for the three points on offer.
A squad with their individual strength would never have been predicted to have sank so low throughout the season, but they are where they are. Eight games since a clean sheet, 21 since a no score draw, the defence cannot support the attack. But with players like Agbonlahor, Downing, Ashley Young, Darren Bent, and even John Carew before he left on loan, the low total of six league goals for their top league scorer (A. Young) is surprising. Whereas before they were scoring enough to cover defensive lapses, and putting more pressure on the opposition’s backline, now they are vulnerable. They have dropped more points (23) from winning positions than any other team, and would be third in the league table with those additional points. Villa have also conceded more goals from corners (13) and more headed goals (also 13) than any other team in the Premier League, and these are clearly the signs of a struggling, inconsistent side.
Newcastle: League Position: 9th, League Form: WDLLW
Newcastle travel to Villa Park for the first time since their infamous relegation from the Premier League was confirmed 23 months ago. Whereas before their last game they looked uncertain in their league position again, a resounding 4-1 victory at home to Wolves last weekend has pretty much crushed any fears of relegation. Their manager Alan Pardew believes “one win and a couple of draws” will secure their safety, and it’s hard to argue that 44 points would keep them up.
The problem for them this weekend is missing players. They will be without top scorer Kevin Nolan (12), the impressive and combative midfielder Cheik Tiote and a few others. Their strike force, diminished since the sale of Andy Carroll, will be without Leon Best for the rest of the season, leaving them with only Ranger, Ameobi, Lovenkrands and Kuqi. Not highly impressive unless on their best game. Their only fitness positive is the return of another impressive performer, and rumoured transfer target of many sides, Jose Enrique.
Match Prediction: Aston Villa Win – 1.91 Stan James
Although Villa were smashed 6-0 in the reverse fixture earlier in the season, Newcastle have lost their two top scorers, no longer have home advantage and don’t have the same desperate need for points as Villa.
The positives for Aston Villa are the improvement of late, unluckily missing out on three points after an away draw against Everton, and their undoubted quality. Ashley Young, Darren Bent and Stewart Downing have all performed well for England recently, and further form from them and they will be hard to see going down.
Newcastle did look very good and very motivated last week against Wolves, but being robbed of Nolan and Tiote is a huge blow to their midfield. The goals missing from their team with no Nolan and of course No Carroll, who had 23 goals this season for the club between them, will take a lot to replace, especially for a makeshift strike team. They’ve won as many games away from home as they have at St James’ Park, but their defensive record is less than great, conceding nearly double as many as they have scored.
A defeat here for Villa will really put them into danger, especially with such a highly important away game next weekend and the relatively good form of most of the teams fighting relegation.
Although Bent has only goal less in half the games Ashley Young has played, but Young takes penalties, will likely play in behind the striker, and is nearly double the price.
Highlighted Bets:-
Over/Under: Over 2.5 Goals – 1.91 William Hill
First Goalscorer: Ashley Young – 8.5 Victor Chandler
Correct Score: 2-1 Aston Villa Win – 9.00 Sky Bet
By Chris Wilkerson
Aston Villa League Form: LDDWDL League Position: 13th
Aston Villa went down 2-0 at Blackburn on Sunday and continued their poor recent form. Without several of their more experienced players, Villa have now won only one of their previous 6. Although they did run Manchester United close in the 2-2 draw a few weeks ago, which manager Gerard Houllier will take heart from going into the weekends clash against Arsenal. Stuart Downing is Aston Villa’s top scorer so far this season with 4 goals and the attacking midfielder is well worth a bet at 16/1 with Coral to open the scoring. Promising youngster Marc Albrighton is out of the weekend clash after having an appendix operation, while their lengthy list of doubts include: John Carew, Carlos Cuellar, Emile Heskey, Stiliyan Petrov, Nigel Reo-Coker and Steve Sidwell.
Arsenal League Form: WWLWWL League Position: 3rd
Arsenal’s week has gone from bad to worse, after losing at home to local rivals Tottenham for the first time at since 1993. They went down 2-0 in Portugal against Braga and influential midfielder Cesc Fabregas sustained a fresh hamstring injury that could keep him out for up to 3 weeks. Despite this, they still go into the tie away at Villa favourites and best priced at 5/4 with BlueSq to return to winning ways. Marouane Chamakh is starting to find his form after his summer move to the Emirates and Stan James are offering a standout price of 2/1 for the Moroccan striker to score at any time. In addition to losing their captain the Gunners will also be without Emmanuel Eboue, Abou Diaby, Thomas Vermaelen and Manuel Almunia. However, they could be boosted by the return of Robin Van Persie who Wenger left out of the midweek clash with Braga.
Match Prediction: Arsenal Win Best Priced at 5/4 Blue Sq
Arsenal will be determined to get back to winning ways after two disappointing defeats, and they should do that against a Villa side missing several players. Both sides have conceded and scored plenty recently, so there should be goals on show. A 2-1 Arsenal win looks a really good bet at 17/2 with Sky Bet. As does Arsenal to do a reverse of last weekend and come from behind and win at 10/1 with Paddy Power. However Aston Villa are a good price at 13/5 with BoyleSports to get the win, considering they are at home against an Arsenal side wavering after two defeats.
By Sam Markham
Arsenal League Position: 2nd League Form: DLLWW
Arsenals league form had been erratic at best, from losing 3-2 at the Emirates to West Brom to winning 3-0 away from home against Manchester City. They have found themselves preforming well against the top sides while stuttering against the stragglers, with their 1-1 draw against Sunderland being prime evidence of this. However after this week’s 4-0 away from home thrashing of Newcastle by a relatively second string Arsenal side, they still look very decent title contenders and more than a match for the struggling West Ham.
Striker Robin Van Persie is still side-lined along with other key figures in the shape of Thomas Vermaelen and Manuel Almunia. Meaning that reserve goalkeeper Lukasz Fabianski who last season was a symbol of Arsenals defensive frailties should step in. However it looks as if times have changed and in the last 4 games Fabianski has shown himself to be the keeper Wenger must have believed he was when he was signed meaning that Arsenals’ chances of keeping a clean sheet are far greater than they ever were.
Another key figure for Arsenal this season has been Samir Nasri, the 23 year old bagging 4 goals in his last 4 league games, so a flutter on him to be the first goal scorer with the odds at 9/1 on Paddy Power doesn’t look like a bad offer.
West Ham League Position: 20th League Form: DWDDL
West Ham’s position propping up the table doesn’t look like a promising one, especially when they are facing an in form team in the opposite region of the division. With a team largely built arounfd the talents of midfielder Scott Parker and relying on the defensive capabilities of fellow Englishmen and occasional world dup duffers Matthew Upson and Robert Green the Hammers are looking severely below par.
The arrival of Avram Grant looked promising at the beginning of the season; however the host of ex Pompey flops that have followed have done precious little to instil confidence. The strike partnership of Frederic Piquionne and Victor Obina has looked potent at times but this has been rare and mainly against teams in the lower half of the table. The 3-1 Home defeat of Stoke in the Carling Cup will definitely mean that the Hammers go into the next game with some confidence, with Scot Parker still producing most of the goals from midfield though a good bet could be for him to bag the last goal with a hefty 40/1 at Bet 365.
Match Predictions:
Correct Score: Arsenal 4-1 at 16/1 SkyBet
Samir Nasri: 1st Goalscorer at 9/1 Paddy Power
Last Goalscorer: Scott Parker at 40/1 Bet 365
By John Fernandez
Arsenal Form: WWWLWW League Position: 2nd
The Gunners are top of the form table at the moment after winning 5 of their last 6 league matches, moving them up to second place in the Premier League. Only two points behind leaders Chelsea, with the ability to temporarily go top when they face Tottenham on Saturday lunchtime. Captain Cesc Fabregas is back in action after his recent injury and is a good price at 15/2 with BetFred to open the scoring on the day. Whilst Arsenal go into the North London Derby, odds on favourites and best priced at 4/6 with Victor Chandler, after not losing at home to Tottenham since 1993. Young midfielder Jack Wilshere is fighting a fitness race after missing out of the England Match in midweek and Arsene Wenger is still without Manuel Almunia, Abou Diaby, Aaron Ramsey and Thomas Vermalaelen.
Tottenham Form: WDLLDW League Position: 7th
While spurs have been making a fantastic start to life in the Champions League, their domestic form has been very indifferent. Having won just two of their last 6 games and slipping up in recent weeks against Bolton and Sunderland, they have fallen to 7th in the league. While scoring goals has not been a problem for Tottenham this season, they have conceded more than one a game which will be worrying when going up against the league’s second top scorers. Welsh winger Gareth Bale has been a revelation this season and is a standout bet at 23/5 with Bwin to score at any time. Harry Redknapp was been boosted in the week by the return to full training of Jermain Defoe, although midfielder Tom Huddlestone has been ruled out until February with an ankle injury. Spurs could also be without Aaron Lennon, Ledley King and Robbie Keane who are all doubts.
Match Prediction: Arsenal 2- 1 Best Priced at 7/1 with William Hill
Arsenal have all the momentum going into the big Derby clash at the weekend and with the added incentive of being able to take top spot in the league, should take all three points. Taking that into account a three nil home win, which was the result in the corresponding fixture last season looks great value at 15/1 with UniBet. However, the Derby nature of the fixture does tend to throw the form book out of the window, and there have been some cracking games between the two in the past. While both defences have been shaky this season, it means a more sensible bet would be a 2-1 Arsenal win which will give a good return at 8/1 with William Hill.
By Sam Markham
Blackburn take on Man City on Easter Monday in a clash that will have consequences at both ends of the table. Although Man City’s title hopes are over now they can cement their Champions League place, while Blackburn are looking for 3 vital points to steer themselves away from the relegation zone. Blackburn have a good recent record against City though, having won 7 of the last 13 matches at Ewood Park in all competitions.
Blackburn
Blackburn have been in really poor form recently and will be desperately looking for a win on Monday to help secure their Premier League status for next season. Rovers haven’t won a single game in any competition since January and have slipped from 10th down to 16th in the league table. Their main problem seems to be conceding goals, as they have only kept 2 clean sheets in their last 9 games and have conceded on average of a goal a game. Blackburn also haven’t had a consistent goal scorer this season as Nikola Kalinic is their top league scorer with 5 in the league and he looks most likely to get a goal. The Croatian is a good price then at 4.2 with Unibet to score at any time during the match.
Man City
Manchester City have been fairly inconsistent in their last few games, but have improved in recent weeks with their 1-0 win over local rivals Man Utd in the FA Cup Semi Final. Roberto Mancini will also be looking to take advantage of Tottenham’s slip up on Saturday by cementing their place in the Champsions League. Carlos Tevez will still be missing for the trip but Mario Balotelli should deputise and has played well over recent weeks. The striker was a real threat in the Semi Final and is a good bet at 7.25 with Unibet to open the scoring. Manchester City have lost 6 away games this season but are favourites to win the match and a 2-0 away win is looking good at 11.0 with Bluesq. A half time/full time of Manchester City /Manchester City is also looking good at 3.5 with Stan James as the Citizens could well control the game with Blackburn in poor form.
Highlighted Bets
Nikola Kalinic anytime scorer –3.75 Will Hill
Mario Balotelli first goal scorer – 6.5 Coral
Manchester City 2-0 WIN – 11.0 Bluesq
Half Time/Full Time of Man City/Man City – 3.5 Stan James
By Sam Markham
Arsenal: League Position: 3rd League Form: DWDDL
Arsenal come into this game now with second place to play for, but third place to secure. It was almost unthinkable two weeks again that Arsenal would not finish in the top three, but now points dropped here could leave the door open for Manchester City to leapfrog the despondent Gunners. It’s safe to say there title challenge is over, mathematically so or not.
One win in seven league games is appalling for a team looking to win the title, and now their mental strength has come into question again. To say the pressure is off now would be naive, the Arsenal fans are not happy with their side and will demand a performance. If the shackles are off they could play with the freedom that will only benefit their style, and they have clearly suffered with the weight of title expectations.
The positives? Cesc Fabregas has been fit and playing well, whilst Robin van Persie has scored 18 goals in 19 games for Arsenal in 2011.
Manchester United: League Position: 1st , League Form: WWWDW
There are not many statistical reasons to back Manchester United away from home in the Premier League this season. Joint most away draws in the league and the least away wins of any of the top five. Not fantastic reading, but their collective team spirit to win the league dragged them through the difficult phases for the season, and now they have hit form.
The last two ties at The Emirates have ended 3-1 to United, with Sir Alex Ferguson’s side absorbing much pressure from Arsenal before launching astonishing counter-attacks at speed. Manchester United are unbeaten in their last seven meetings with Arsenal, winning six (including the last four). The press have continued to talk about how the team need not lose here, but the team and fans are surely confident they can win this and leave themselves needing only a draw with Chelsea at home next up to secure the title, or four points from their last two if Chelsea beat them.
Berbatov may return to fitness in time to feature, but Wayne Rooney and Javier Hernandez are on such form it’s hard to see them not starting. They seem to be enjoying their football, with devastating effect, and any tiredness in their legs will be gone by Wednesday’s Champions League fixture.
Match Prediction: Manchester United Win – 2.9 William Hill
Although United’s title hopes will be done no harm by a draw and their away record is poor, they have the Indian sign over Arsenal at the moment, in terms of results, trophies and sheer match-winning style.
The weaknesses in the Arsenal side are so apparent when compared with this United team. There is no grit, no experience of success and no collective. They pass the ball fantastically, but if it’s not the perfect goal with them it’s often not completed. Manchester United battle to win games, Arsenal will only win on their terms.
Rooney, Hernandez, Nani, Valencia, Giggs, Berbatov, all these six won’t play, yet you feel a combination of all three going forward will be too much for a weak Arsenal defence. Both teams strength is in attack, Arsenal look as bad in defence recently as they have for years, whilst United have struggled. Both teams to score could be a good bet.
With the usual goalscorers short as they are, Arsenal’s weakness at corners could see a good value bet nick the first goal. Both Bolton goals were from corners last weekend, and for the second midfielder Tamir Cohen beat centre back Johan Djourou in the air to score. Nemanja Vidic, an aerial warrior, will be licking his lips at the prospect of attacking any crosses he can.
Highlighted Bets:-
Over/Under: Over 2.5 Goals – 2.00 Paddy Power
First Goalscorer: Nemanja Vidic – 29.00 Blue Sq
Correct Score: 3-1 Man Utd Win – 26.00 Stan James
Anytime Goalscorer: Robin Van Persie – 2.63 Bet Fred
Both Teams to Score – 1.75 BlueSq
By Chris Wilkerson
Third host fourth on Wednesday evening as Liverpool, looking to make it eight unbeaten in the league travel to the Emirates to face a faltering Arsenal side. Liverpool’s hard fought Merseyside success over rivals Everton last weekend meant the gap between third and fourth has been narrowed to just five points. Didier Drogba’s brace against the Gunners’ on Sunday condemned Arsenal to their second defeat in a week, and all but ended their slim title aspirations. Arsene Wenger’s men are pretty poor value at 11/10 to get back to winning ways against the Reds; who themselves are best priced at 11/4 with Victor Chandler. If honours are to end all square, the dray pays out at plausible 12/5 with SkyBet.
The defeat at Stamford Bridge last time out was a bitter pill to swallow for Arsene Wenger and Chelsea’s victory left them nine points adrift of the leaders. Post match Wenger refused to concede the title had slipped out of their grasp but did admit they are now rank outsiders. The Gunners boss may take optimism from the fact his team didn’t play poorly at the Bridge but as was the case against Manchester United a week earlier, they are never more vulnerable when they are on the attack. Sunday’s defeat extended the North Londoners’ winless run to four games, and Arsenal chief now knows his teams only realistic hope of silverware – rests with the Champions League.
Only two points could separate the two teams come Wednesday evening, and a Liverpool victory will surely leave Arsenal looking perilously over their shoulders. Wenger knew the January/February fixture run in would make or break their season, and arguably their last two defeats have broken a campaign which gathered speed when they sat at the summit for a brief stint in mid-January. However, Rafa’s men can rub salt into Arsenal’s already bloody wounds as they look at avenge the 2-1 defeat suffered at Anfield in December.
The pair have met twice already this year and the Gunners have claimed victory on both occasions. However putting the head to head battles to one side, Liverpool recent resurgence in form has furthered their top four ambitions and the battling 1-0 win over Everton will have instilled confidence in a side that; blew any hopes of the title in the first two months, exited the Champions League at the group stages and were shocked by a Reading side that knocked them out of the FA Cup at Anfield. And Despite rumours of boardroom unrest at the club and interest from Juve in their manager, the Reds haven’t dwelled on the past and have shown the fighting spirit necessary to finish in the top four. The Reds have gone over 360 minutes of football without being breached and this is a statistic that will need to continue if they are going to leave the Emirates with anything.
Dirk Kuyt scored against Arsenal when the sides last met and has stepped up to the plate well in the absence of star striker Fernando Torres; the Dutchman has bagged four goals in as many games and at 15/2 is a steady bet to open the scoring on Wednesday. Andrei Arshavin is favourite to score first in the match and can be found at 5s with Boylesports. A 1-1 draw has seen the money and at 11/2 may represent good value.
Arsenal have been shipping goals of late, five in the last two games and personally I think Liverpool will open the scoring on Wednesday. Arsenal have fell behind no fewer than five times at the Emirates this term so why not have a half time-full time dabble with Liverpool to be leading at half time and Arsenal to claim a victory by the end of ninety minutes at a massive 28/1 with Bet365. I think Arsenal will be reeling following back to back defeats and although the title may now be a two-horse race, the fading Gunners’ might just make home advantage count and beat Liverpool by the odd goal. Conversely, the Reds are on a seven match unbeaten streak and are brimming with confidence and 11/4 represents a sound bet if they can continue on this great run.
Reccomended bets: Liverpool to win at 11/4 with William Hill – click for free bet
Arsenal Form: WDWDWW Position: 2nd
Arsenal have had a great start to the year, unbeaten in 6 league games, through to the final of the Carling Cup and in the 5th round draw for the FA Cup after knocking out Huddersfield on Sunday. They’re also the form team in the division, winning 4 of their last 6, scoring 14 goals and only conceding 3. Cesc Fabregas scored his 8th goal of the season at the weekend and the attacking midfielder may be pushed further forward with the absence of Samir Nasri. With this in mind, the Spaniard is a great price at 6/1 with Bet365 to open the scoring. Sebastien Squillaci is banned for the visit of Everton but the Gunners remain firm favourites and best priced at 4/9 with Stan James and various others.
Everton Form: WDLWDD Position: 14th
Everton held out for a 1-1 draw in the FA Cup 4th round at home against Chelsea at the weekend but face a tough game midweek when they travel to Arsenal. The Tofees will take heart from some good performances against top sides this season, after winning at Manchester City and drawing away at Chelsea, and at home against Manchester United. The problem for Everton this season though, has been scoring goals, only managing 29 in the league and the midweek game should still come too son for Tim Cahill who is on international duty with Australia. Louis Saha scored only his 4th goal of the season at the weekend, but the Frenchman looks set to start at the Emirates on Tuesday and is a good price at 15/4 with Bet365 to find the back of the net at any time.
Match Prediction Arsenal WIN best priced at 4/9 Stan James
Arsenal should be too strong for an Everton side short on firepower. Although Samir Nasri is out for the Gunners, Robin Van Persie has been back to his clinical best in recent weeks and should start after being rested on Sunday. A Half Time/ Full Time of Draw/Arsenal is showing good value for money at 10/3 with Betfred, as Arsenal may struggle at first to break down an Everton side that have conceded just 14 goals away from home this season, the same amount as Manchester United. While a 2-0 Arsenal win is showing further good value for money at 13/2 with Unibet.
Highlighted Bets
HT/ FT – Draw/Arsenal – 10/3 Betfred
2-0 Arsenal WIN – 11/2 Paddy Power
Van Persie 1st goal scorer + Arsenal WIN – 18/5 William Hill
By Sam Markham
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